Turkish inflation cooled more than expected in November, clearing a path for the central bank to deliver a more sizeable interest-rate cut next week.Annual price growth slowed to 31.1% last month, the national statistics office said Wednesday, from 32.9% in October. The print was lower than all estimates in a Bloomberg survey with the median forecast 31.6%.Monthly prices meanwhile, eased significantly to 0.9%, from 2.6% in October. This is the first time since May 2023 that monthly prices came in below a rate of 1%. A decline in food prices contributed to a smaller reading in November — a correction to the very sharp increases in previous months, said QNB Bank AS chief economist Erkin Isik.Turkish banking index rose as much as 1.6% in Istanbul trading after the data, while the lira was little changed at 42.45 per the US dollar as of 10.47am local time.“Turkiye’s softer-than-expected November inflation does little to alter the still-elevated medium-term outlook. Even so, the central bank is likely to read the downside surprise as support for its easing cycle — which we expect it to pursue in measured steps,” says Selva Bahar Baziki, economist, Bloomberg Economics.Wednesday’s inflation readings will play an important role in determining expectations on how sizeable of a rate cut the central bank will deliver when it meets on December 11. Monetary policymakers last reduced rates by 100 basis points — slowing the pace — to 39.5% in October, from a peak of 50%.“We maintain our forecast for a 100bp cut, but, if anything, the risks are skewed towards a bigger move,” said Nicholas Farr, emerging Europe economist at Capital Economics, in a note.Henrik Gullberg, macro strategist at Coex Partners, said the data could prompt the central bank to cut more than the 100 basis points they delivered in October. “But with risks of a bit of a bounce in December inflation, I think it will not be a return to the 250 basis points we saw in September or the 300 basis points in July.”QNB’s Isik calculated the main inflation trend, a metric closely monitored by the central bank, remaining around 2%, with no improvement from previous months in November. “We don’t expect the central bank to increase the pace of rate cuts” from October, he said.Turkiye’s economy slowed more than expected in the third quarter in annual terms, according to data released on Monday, while expanding more than anticipated on a quarterly basis. That’s created a confusing outlook though some economists suggest the bank will focus on the headline figure, further fuelling it to continue with rate cuts.