Business

Monday, December 22, 2025 | Daily Newspaper published by GPPC Doha, Qatar.

Business

An external view of the Tokyo Stock Exchange building. The Nikkei 225 closed up 1.8% to 50,402.39 points Monday.

Asian markets rally with Wall Street as rate hopes rise, AI fears ease

Asian markets rallied Monday and gold hit a record high as the latest round of US data boosted hopes for more interest rate cuts, while worries over AI spending also subsided.In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 closed up 1.8% to 50,402.39 points; Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index ended up 0.4% to 25,801.77 points andShanghai - Composite closed up 0.7% to 3,917.36 points Monday.Investors were back in the saddle for the final business days before Christmas, having had a minor wobble earlier in the month on concerns that the Federal Reserve would hold off on further easing monetary policy in the early part of 2026.Figures last week showing US unemployment hit a four-year high in November came as a report indicated the rise in consumer prices slowed more than expected.That stoked bets on the Fed lowering borrowing costs early next year. Investors had pared their forecasts after the bank indicated it could take a pause on further cuts in its post-meeting statement earlier this month."This labour market softening and inflation moderation strengthened Federal Reserve easing expectations for 2026," wrote IG market analyst Fabien Yip.However, she added that "the low inflation reading may prove temporary as shutdown-related data collection disruptions likely suppressed the figure, which could normalise higher once data gathering processes resume".Asian tech firms led the gains Monday with South Korea's Samsung Electronics, Taiwan's TSMC and Japan's Renesas among the best performers.Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Mumbai, Bangkok, Wellington, Taipei and Manila all saw healthy advances.Tokyo was the standout, piling on 1.8% thanks to a weaker yen.However, London, Paris and Frankfurt fell at the open.Gold, which benefits from lower US interest rates, hit a fresh record above $4,420.30, while silver also struck a new peak.The precious metals, which are go-to assets in times of crisis, also benefited from geopolitical worries as Washington steps up its oil blockade against Venezuela and after Ukraine hit a tanker from Russia's shadow fleet in the Mediterranean.Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management said: "Asian equity markets are stepping onto the floor with a constructive bias, taking their cue from Friday's solid rebound in US stocks and the growing belief that the final stretch of the year still belongs to the bulls."The equity gains tracked a surge on Wall Street led by the Nasdaq as technology giants following a bumper earnings report from chip giant Micron Technology that reinvigorated the AI trade.That came on top of news that Oracle will take a 15% stake in a TikTok joint venture that will allow the social media company to maintain operations in the United States.The tech bounce came after a bout of selling fuelled by concerns that valuations had been stretched and questions were being asked about the vast sums invested in artificial intelligence that some warn could take time to see returns.Forex traders are keeping tabs on Tokyo after Japan's top currency official said he was concerned about the yen's recent weakness, which came after the central bank hiked interest rates to a 30-year high on Friday."We're seeing one-directional, sudden moves, especially after last week's monetary policy meeting, so I'm deeply concerned," Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Atsushi Mimura said Monday."We'd like to take appropriate responses against excessive moves."The comments stoked speculation that officials could intervene in currency markets to support the yen, which fell more than 1% against the dollar on Friday after bank boss Kazuo Ueda chose not to signal more increases early in the new year.

An oil tanker is being loaded at Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal (file). Crude oil sales from the world’s biggest exporter, Saudi Arabia, are set to surge as 2026 begins, with customers from the US to Asia all set to receive more supply amid growing concerns over an oil glut.

Saudi oil sales set for new year surge in sign of growing supply

Crude oil sales from the world’s biggest exporter, Saudi Arabia, are set to surge as 2026 begins, with customers from the US to Asia all set to receive more supply amid growing concerns over an oil glut.Chinese refiners are poised to receive around 50mn barrels from Saudi Arabia, the leading member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. They will load next month and are equivalent to some 1.6mn barrels a day — and it’ll be the highest allocated amount since August, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Those barrels will likely arrive in late January or in February.Meanwhile, there’s 509,000 barrels a day of crude from the kingdom bound for the US that had loaded in November, according to data from Kpler Ltd. That’s likely to be sustained, with OilX, a unit of Energy Aspects, estimating that January arrival of Saudi crude to the US will hit 594,000 barrels a day. The inflows would be the highest seen since 2022 and are weighing down prices of oil in the US Gulf Coast market.It’s all adding to signs that global oil markets will be awash with supply next year, as producers, including those within Opec, ramp up drilling at a time when demand growth is set to remain tepid. Opec and its allies had earlier agreed to revive oil production in the final months of this year in an apparent effort to regain market share.With oil prices falling, Opec+ last month said it will pause further production increases during the first quarter of 2026. Among leading forecasters, the International Energy Agency said markets will be oversupplied by 3.8mn barrels a day in 2026.Japan, as well, has seen higher Saudi flows, with November-loading crude bound for the Asian nation at around 1.3mn barrels a day, which would be the most since April 2023, Kpler data also showed. Projections indicated a higher rate of Japan-bound Aramco exports for December loading — over 1.4mn barrels a day — although the number can still change.The oil-derivative market is also flashing signs of oversupply. The forward curve for the Middle Eastern benchmark, Dubai, is hovering around a contango structure — where later-dated contracts trade at a premium to more prompt ones, indicating weak near-term demand.