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Saturday, December 06, 2025 | Daily Newspaper published by GPPC Doha, Qatar.

Tag Results for "economic growth" (4 articles)

Scott Nuttall, KKR co-Chief Executive Officer.
Business

Buyout giant KKR signals growing ambition on Middle East deals

In October, over 150 professionals from KKR & Co descended on Abu Dhabi. They huddled in conference rooms at the Mandarin Oriental and dined out in the desert, before travelling to meet with institutional investors across the region that now sits firmly at the heart of global finance.Weeks after that off-site, KKR picked Abu Dhabi as the location for its third Middle Eastern office. For the $723bn alternatives giant which pioneered the buyout industry, the moves spotlighted the growing significance of the oil-rich Gulf that boasts a young demographic, growing consumption and robust economic growth.KKR was set up about five decades ago in the US, later expanding to Europe and Asia. The firm has had an office in Dubai since 2009 and started deploying capital into the region more recently, though executives are looking to dial up their presence.“Once we decide that we want to go into a region, we operate more like a switch than a dimmer,” co-Chief Executive Officer Scott Nuttall told Bloomberg News in Riyadh on the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative. “We want to invest more capital in and with partners that are here,” he said in an exclusive interview alongside two of KKR’s most senior regional executives.The firm recently reported its second-highest fundraising quarter, a period where investment activity also rose sharply. Over the past year, it has deployed about $85bn globally across asset classes. The Middle East accounts for a small proportion, but Nuttall pledged to scale up, “much like we’ve done in Europe and Asia.”Buyout firms have been drawn to newly-ascendant Gulf economies that are trying to diversify from oil into areas like finance and artificial intelligence. Massive privatisation programmes are also seen as a lucrative opportunity.But it’s also a delicate moment for alternative managers in the region. Many of the largest Gulf wealth funds — historically significant backers of the industry — have become pickier about who they work with. Some have sounded alarm over valuation practices and returns, while others say pockets of the market have become crowded.KKR, for its part, has picked up the pace of dealmaking in the Gulf, which Nuttall said delivered “emerging markets growth for developed market risk.” It has invested about $2bn over the past ten months, buying a slice of Abu Dhabi National Oil Co’s gas pipeline network and a stake in one of the largest Gulf data centre firms.Other titans of global finance, too, have rushed in.Brookfield Asset Management is now one of the biggest foreign investors in the Gulf, BlackRock Inc recently signalled ambitions to significantly boost regional investments, while the likes of CVC Capital Partners Plc and General Atlantic have ramped up dealmaking. Executives from many of these firms will head to Abu Dhabi this month for the city’s annual finance confab.KKR executives brushed aside concerns over competition, and said their ability to do a broader variety of deals offers an edge. The firm invests from a global pool of capital, allowing it to target bigger opportunities, according to Julian Barratt-Due, head of Middle East investing.“Our mandate is very broad and flexible with respect to duration and cost of capital as well as size, governance structures, holding periods,” he said in the interview. “That gives us a really wide lens when it comes to deployment and it widens the addressable opportunity set.”“Being able to play across that whole range helps,” he said.KKR opened its first regional office in Dubai 16 years ago, followed by Riyadh in 2014. Co-founders including Henry Kravis have flown into Gulf cities for over three decades to raise capital and build partnerships with sovereign wealth funds. Nuttall himself is a frequent visitor, while former US General David Petraeus — chairman of the Middle East franchise since April — is a fixture at regional finance forums.In all, it currently has 20 employees in the region, and recently set up an investment team led by Barratt-Due. “This isn’t a new endeavour,” Nuttall said. “I’d say what is a bit younger is the idea of investing capital in the region, not just taking capital from the region.”That appetite for dealmaking has triggered a regional revival for the industry following the collapse of Abraaj Group, but it’s also ratcheting up competition for assets and a slice of the region’s billions. Even a flare up in the regional conflict over the summer and fluctuations in the price of crude haven’t deterred firms from continuing to set up local outposts and adding investment professionals.“The Middle East is the world’s worst-kept secret,” said George Traub, managing partner at Dubai-based boutique Lumina Capital Advisers. “The likes of Brookfield have had an early mover advantage by getting access to a string of deals and others have taken note,” he said, adding that firms who may have been underweight are now recalibrating their approach.Recent transactions have centred on sectors tied to the region’s growth. Brookfield invested in a Dubai-based education provider last year, while Permira and Blackstone Inc poured money into a property classifieds website recently, in a bet that an influx of expatriates would continue to boost those sectors.“From an investment standpoint, it’s a pretty interesting area, and there are a lot of things that rhyme with what we see in Asia,” Nuttall said. “And we’re the largest manager in Asia.”Opening UpBuyout shops started to change their approach to the region a few years ago when Gulf states decided to open up some of the marquee infrastructure to international investors. KKR and BlackRock were involved in the first such deal in the Middle East, when they bought into Adnoc’s oil pipeline network in 2019.“Every country has ambitious economic transformation plans and are seeking foreign investments,” General Petraeus said in the interview. “The thinking is why hold all these assets on your balance sheet when an investment firm can come and buy some of it.”Such transactions continue to present opportunities for buyout firms. Earlier this year, Saudi Aramco signed an $11bn lease transaction with a group led by BlackRock’s Global Infrastructure Partners for assets linked to the Jafurah gas project.Aramco is now considering plans to raise billions by selling assets including its oil export and storage terminals business. The action has spread further afield to places like Kuwait, where the state oil firm is considering leasing part of its pipeline network to help fund a $65bn investment plan.But the region can still be hard to crack for alternative asset managers. Auction processes can be less structured than in the West, businesses are sometimes more reluctant to cede control, and capital markets are relatively illiquid.KKR executives are looking to lean on their local presence to counter some of those challenges. A significant portion of its deal pipeline comes from having conversations with local entities, Barratt-Due said.“You need to be on the ground,” he said. “This is impossible to do if you’re sitting in London or New York, you just need to meet with people.” 

People stroll through the historic Grand Bazaar, a popular tourist attraction and one of the country's most important economic venues, in Istanbul. Annual consumer price inflation stood at 32.95% last month, official data showed on Wednesday, above a Reuters poll estimate of 32.6%. It was up 2.04% on a monthly basis.
Business

Turkish inflation of nearly 33% could slow rate cuts

Turkish inflation came in higher than expected in August, at nearly 33% annually and more than 2% on a monthly basis, readings that are likely to slow the central bank's plans to cut interest rates as it also weighs stronger economic growth.Annual consumer price inflation stood at 32.95% last month, official data showed on Wednesday, above a Reuters poll estimate of 32.6%. It was up 2.04% on a monthly basis.In further evidence that consumer demand remains strong despite the effects of prolonged monetary tightening, separate data on Monday had shown that Turkiye's economy grew by 4.8% in the second quarter, above expectations.The data flurry comes at a jittery time for investors in Turkiye. A court on Tuesday ousted the Istanbul provincial head of the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP), dealing a fresh judicial blow to opponents of President Tayyip Erdogan and triggering sharp falls in Turkish share and bond markets.According to a poll conducted in July, economists had expected the central bank to cut its policy rate to 36% by year-end, or some 700 basis points from the current 43%. However the latest inflation and GDP data could cause it to slow the pace of the easing, analysts said."Looking ahead to the central bank's September 11 meeting, we expect the market's current consensus for a 300bps rate cut to moderate towards 200-250bps," Oyak Securities said in a note to clients on Wednesday.In July, the central bank cut the policy rate by 300 basis points, relaunching an easing cycle paused in March, and it promised to use all policy tools in the event of a significant and persistent deterioration in inflation."After Wednesday's GDP growth data and today's inflation data, the probability of the central bank cutting rates by 300 basis points in September has become very low," Hakan Kara, a former central bank chief economist now on the faculty at Bilkent University in Ankara, said on X.The monthly inflation reading for August of 2.04% was affected by higher food, education, and housing prices, as well as the continued impact of a mid-year update of taxes on tobacco and fuel items.In July, CPI inflation stood at 33.52% on an annual basis, while the monthly reading was 2.06%.In the Reuters poll, the monthly inflation rate for August had been expected to come in at 1.8%.The domestic producer price index rose 2.48% month-on-month in August for an annual rise of 25.16%, the data showed.Inflation is seen slowing to 30% at the end of this year according to the poll median, higher than the central bank forecast range of 25%-29%.

A Turkish flag flutters on a passenger ferry with the Bosphorus in the background in Istanbul. Gross domestic product expanded 1.6% on a quarterly basis, up from a revised 0.7% in the preceding three-month period when adjusted for seasonality and working days, Turkey’s statistics office said on Monday.
Business

Turkiye’s economic growth picks up despite shock rate hike

Turkiye’s economic growth remained resilient in the second quarter despite an emergency interest-rate hike by the central bank in March.Gross domestic product expanded 1.6% on a quarterly basis, up from a revised 0.7% in the preceding three-month period when adjusted for seasonality and working days, Turkiye’s statistics office said on Monday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists projected an expansion of 0.6%.The economy grew 4.8% annually, compared with the median estimate of 4.1% in the survey and a revised 2.3% in the preceding quarter. The acceleration was largely down to the higher number of working days Turkiye had this year compared to 2024, QNB Turkiye economists led by Erkin Isik said in a research note ahead of the data release.The surprise boost came after the Turkish central bank raised interest rates in an unscheduled meeting in March to mitigate the market fallout following the jailing of a prominent opposition politician, reversing a cycle of rate cuts it had just begun. Even so, domestic demand climbed at the fastest pace in more than a year, leading the surge in annual growth. The central bank resumed its cuts in July, lowering the main policy rate to 43% from 46%.Spending by households, which is the main driver of Turkiye’s economy, rose 5.1%, the highest rate since the first quarter of 2024, Turkstat said.“On the surface, Turkiye’s especially strong growth data for the second quarter could be seen as reason to derail the central bank’s easing path. But activity is likely to post slower gains ahead and we maintain our call for rate cuts at all remaining meetings this year amid falling inflation,” says Selva Bahar Baziki, economist, Bloomberg Economics.“Today’s figures provide worrying evidence that domestic demand is too strong, which may prevent the current account deficit from narrowing further and inflation from falling as quickly as policymakers want,” Capital Economics’ chief emerging markets economist William Jackson said in a note. Though August inflation figures, which will be released on Wednesday, will give a better sense of that, Monday’s GDP report suggests the central bank “will not lower interest rates as quickly as we currently expect,” he said. Jackson currently sees the main policy rate reduced to 37% at the end of the year.Gross fixed capital formation, a measure of investments by businesses, soared by nearly 9% in the second quarter from a year earlier, while exports of goods and services increased by 1.7% from a year earlier, and up from 0.1% the prior quarter.The lira was little changed after the data release, trading 0.1% higher at 41.1182 per the US dollar at 10.57am in Istanbul.Monday’s release marks the first time Turkstat published revised growth data, which the agency said was carried out for better compliance with international peers.

A Turkish flag flutters on a passenger ferry with the Bosphorus in the background in Istanbul. Gross domestic product expanded 1.6% on a quarterly basis, up from a revised 0.7% in the preceding three-month period when adjusted for seasonality and working days, Turkey’s statistics office said on Monday.
Business

Turkiye’s economic growth picks up despite shock rate hike

Turkiye’s economic growth remained resilient in the second quarter despite an emergency interest-rate hike by the central bank in March.Gross domestic product expanded 1.6% on a quarterly basis, up from a revised 0.7% in the preceding three-month period when adjusted for seasonality and working days, Turkiye’s statistics office said on Monday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists projected an expansion of 0.6%.The economy grew 4.8% annually, compared with the median estimate of 4.1% in the survey and a revised 2.3% in the preceding quarter. The acceleration was largely down to the higher number of working days Turkiye had this year compared to 2024, QNB Turkiye economists led by Erkin Isik said in a research note ahead of the data release.The surprise boost came after the Turkish central bank raised interest rates in an unscheduled meeting in March to mitigate the market fallout following the jailing of a prominent opposition politician, reversing a cycle of rate cuts it had just begun. Even so, domestic demand climbed at the fastest pace in more than a year, leading the surge in annual growth. The central bank resumed its cuts in July, lowering the main policy rate to 43% from 46%.Spending by households, which is the main driver of Turkiye’s economy, rose 5.1%, the highest rate since the first quarter of 2024, Turkstat said.“On the surface, Turkiye’s especially strong growth data for the second quarter could be seen as reason to derail the central bank’s easing path. But activity is likely to post slower gains ahead and we maintain our call for rate cuts at all remaining meetings this year amid falling inflation,” says Selva Bahar Baziki, economist, Bloomberg Economics.“Today’s figures provide worrying evidence that domestic demand is too strong, which may prevent the current account deficit from narrowing further and inflation from falling as quickly as policymakers want,” Capital Economics’ chief emerging markets economist William Jackson said in a note. Though August inflation figures, which will be released on Wednesday, will give a better sense of that, Monday’s GDP report suggests the central bank “will not lower interest rates as quickly as we currently expect,” he said. Jackson currently sees the main policy rate reduced to 37% at the end of the year.Gross fixed capital formation, a measure of investments by businesses, soared by nearly 9% in the second quarter from a year earlier, while exports of goods and services increased by 1.7% from a year earlier, and up from 0.1% the prior quarter.The lira was little changed after the data release, trading 0.1% higher at 41.1182 per the US dollar at 10.57am in Istanbul.Monday’s release marks the first time Turkstat published revised growth data, which the agency said was carried out for better compliance with international peers.