For all the talk of trade wars and recession risks, generally the global economy has performed well in recent years. Absolute poverty has fallen, and wealth has risen.
In an ownership-based global economy, those with wealth tend to accrue more wealth. Many of those born in the mid-20th century, especially in western economies, east Asia and oil-rich nations such as the Gulf, have become very wealthy indeed. As they start to die, the wealth passes down to the next generation.
According to The Economist, inheritance reached around 10% of global GDP by the end of the 2010s, roughly double the proportion in the mid-20th century, and the amount passed down to the younger generation is due to total $6tn in 2025 in developed nations alone. In 2023, 53 people became billionaires through inheritance, a figure not much smaller than the 84 people who became billionaires through enterprise.
Does it matter that accident of birth can be more profitable than the work ethic? It is a strong human drive to prioritise family above all else. Inheritance taxes are generally unpopular – and their implementation is problematic. They prompt all manner of ingenious tactics, such as transferring wealth before death, and the nation imposing them risks a brain drain and a wealth drain. They are better avoided, and Gulf states do not have inheritance taxes.
Rich people and successful businesses still pay considerable sums in taxation. So a better approach than inheritance tax to lessen inequality may be for the state to provide affordable housing and training and employment opportunities for those with the misfortune to have parents who are poor.
An old saying is that the first generation makes the wealth, the second generation maintains it, and the third generation loses it. The most spectacular example was the Vanderbilt family, one of the richest in the US in 1900, who had lost nearly all their wealth by the 1970s. But this seems to be happening less often: Wealthy families typically have a family office, and hire professional wealth managers. Being rich has become a profession.
And not all rich people suffer from the third-generation curse. The Duke of Westminster once quipped that the best way to become rich in Britain is to make sure your ancestor was a close friend of William the Conqueror – King of England in the 11th century.
Family offices, in common with any sector that is cash-rich and lightly regulated, are not free of scandal. In 2021 Archegos Capital Management, the family office set up by former Wall Street trader Bill Hwang, defaulted on its debts, owing more than $10bn. He received a prison sentence for fraud and market manipulation. Critics argued that the office was in effect a high-risk hedge fund, drawing attention to the loose definition of the term ‘family office’. In 2023 Singaporean police seized $3bn-worth of assets from residences, as part of an investigation into money laundering activities linked to six family offices. Since then the Monetary Authority of Singapore has tightened regulation of the sector, which has continued to grow. There are around 2,000 family offices in Singapore, up from 1,400 in 2023.
At the other end of the moral spectrum, Generation Pledge is a movement co-founded by Marina Feffer-Oelsner and Sid Efromovich, through which young inheritors of wealth pledge to give 10% of their wealth to philanthropic causes within five years of inheritance, and to commit to responsible investment and business governance throughout their careers.
What both philanthropists and regulators have recognised is the sheer scale of private wealth. The amount of money managed by family offices is estimated to be over $3tn, not far short of the $4.5tn of the hedge fund industry.
In the Middle East, this shift towards inherited wealth is already visible, particularly in the Gulf where large fortunes built over the past few decades are now being transferred to younger generations. Unlike Western economies, the absence of inheritance tax in countries such as Qatar, United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia reinforces the continuity of family wealth, making succession planning and governance even more critical.
At the same time, the rapid growth of regional family offices, often linked to sovereign wealth and large business groups, is professionalising wealth management and reducing the risk of the traditional “third-generation decline.” The challenge for the region is to strike a careful balance: Preserving family prosperity while ensuring that economic opportunity remains accessible, so that growth continues to be driven not only by inheritance, but also by innovation, entrepreneurship, and human capital development.
The author is a Qatari banker, with many years of experience in the banking sector in senior positions.
