Oil
Crude futures surged on Thursday as traders grew concerned about prolonged supply disruptions after Trump said the US would continue attacks on Iran.
Brent crude settled at $109.03 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) closed at $111.54. For the week, Brent fell 3.1%, while WTI rose 11.9%. The key question for traders is whether Iran’s oil infrastructure is now at risk.
With further damage in the region increasingly likely, even intact facilities could face delays in restarting flows, analysts said.
Meanwhile, Opec+ is expected to consider a further output increase on Sunday, sources said. This could position members to add supply if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, though any increase is unlikely to have a meaningful impact before then.
Gas
Asian spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices slipped last week as elevated prices curbed demand, while the start-up of the Golden Pass LNG project in the US eased some supply concerns.
The average LNG price for May delivery into Northeast Asia was $19.00 per mmBtu, down from $19.30 per mmBtu the previous week. Demand-side adjustments and early signs of demand destruction in Asia, given that such elevated outright LNG prices are not viable for many industries, combined with news of Golden Pass’s start-up, have improved the market’s perceived ability to absorb a more prolonged disruption to LNG flows, analysts said.
In Europe, the Dutch TTF gas price settled at $16.87 per mmBtu, a weekly decline of 7.3%. Prices continued to ease as markets priced in a potential near-term de-escalation in the Middle East, following Trump’s remarks on a possible ceasefire with Iran.
