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A year-end rally in US stocks seemed like a lock a few weeks ago amid relentless demand for AI-linked shares, solid earnings and a history of seasonal strength. Now Wall Street isn’t so sure.The S&P 500 Index has gained 1.5% in December on average since 1945, trailing only November’s performance, data compiled by CFRA Research show. But with the US equities benchmark still on pace for a loss this month — even after Monday’s rally — the whole notion of seasonality is being called into question, especially with traders still jittery about artificial-intelligence valuations.Investors continue to show signs of wariness, with demand for hedges against losses in Big-Tech stocks near the highest since August 2024. And after three consecutive weeks of stock-market turbulence, the VIX Index is sitting above the 20 mark that typically signals mounting market stress.“Seasonality is always an investor’s friend, however it’s important to remember it’s not absolute,” said Dan Greenhaus, chief economist and strategist at Solus Alternative Asset Management LP.The S&P 500 rose 1.5% to 6,705.12 on Monday after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated support for an interest rate cut next month. The benchmark gauge is still down 2% this month and is on track for its first monthly drop since April. That compares with a long-term gain of 1.5% in November, per CFRA Research data.Ed Yardeni of eponymous firm Yardeni Research said the S&P 500 is unlikely to reach 7,000 by year-end, which would represent a roughly 4% gain from current levels, largely due to some profit-taking in AI-related stocks. At Roth Capital Markets, chief market technician JC O’Hara called for maintaining a cautious approach on stocks in a note Sunday.“Uncertainty on AI payoffs and upside rate risk will likely limit how much the market can rally into year-end,” said Dennis Debusschere, chief market strategist at 22V Research.While past performance overwhelmingly favours a year-end rally, investors are grappling with a murky backdrop marked by slowing economic growth, heavy spending on AI by American tech behemoths and division at the Fed about the pace of further rate cuts.Investors placed the odds of a cut at the December 9-10 policy meeting at about 70% on Monday after Waller advocated for easing next month. Still he said that a flood of delayed economic data to be released after the December gathering could make the January decision “a little trickier.”On the AI front, meanwhile, lofty valuations, circular financing deals, and sky-high expectations for growth have stoked skittishness around a potential bubble. The worries were highlighted last week when robust earnings from AI darling Nvidia Corp spurred big swings across equities rather than placating those concerns.Positioning data is also flashing mixed signals about what traders can expect in the remainder of 2025. A Deutsche Bank AG measure of equity exposure turned underweight last week for the first time since July, data compiled by the bank’s strategists including Parag Thatte show. But for mega-cap growth and technology shares, outperformance relative to the average stock is still at the top of its long-run trend channel despite the pullback, “leaving them vulnerable,” according to Thatte.For optimists, history skews in their favour against all of the nerves. Whenever the S&P 500 rose at least 10% from early January through September but declined in November — like currently — December followed with gains each and every time going back to 1950, according to data from JPMorgan Chase & Co’s trading desk.“We remain tactically bullish,” JPMorgan’s head of global market intelligence Andrew Tyler told clients in a November 24 note, citing resilient macroeconomic data, positive earnings growth, and a thawing trade war. “Additionally, historical seasonality stats also suggested a rebound.”

The Qatar Stock Exchange (QSE) index closed lower on Tuesday, declining by 90.03 points, or 0.83 percent, to reach 10,745.92 points. During the session, a total of 117,734,869 shares were traded, with a value of QAR 371,044,552.716, through 22,553 transactions across all sectors. Shares of 11 companies rose during the session, while 33 companies saw their stocks decline. 8 companies maintained their previous closing price. At the end of the trading session, the market capitalization stood at QAR 643,449,830,619.294, compared to QAR 650,556,894,582.019 in the previous session.

Kuwait Bourse closed trading on Tuesday as the All Share Index gained 18.51 points to reach 8,858.82 points, an increase of 0.21 percent. As many as 769.6 million shares valued at KWD 158 million (roughly USD 483 million) were traded via 36,887 transactions. The Main Market Index went down by 101.42 points to reach 8,478.29 points, down by 1.18 percent, through 517.2 million shares sold via 24,954 transactions valued at KWD 78.6 million (roughly USD 239.7 million). The Premier Market Index gained 49.39 points to reach 9,391.46 points, up by 0.53 percent, through 252.4 million shares sold via 11,933 transactions valued at KWD 79.4 million (roughly USD 242.17 million). Meanwhile, the bourse's Main 50 Index went down by 13.60 points to reach 8,853.77 points, down by 0.15 percent, through stock volume of 355.4 million shares done in 15,966 deals at a value of KWD 56.4 million (roughly USD 172 million).

The Qatar Stock Exchange (QSE) index closed higher on Thursday, rising by 35.84 points, or 0.33 percent, to reach 10,933.22 points. During the session, a total of 107,625,656 shares were traded, with a value of QR 261,660,077.585, across 18,518 transactions in all sectors. Shares of 27 companies rose during the session, while 18 companies saw their stocks decline. Six companies maintained their previous closing prices. At the end of the trading session, the market capitalization stood at QR 654,222,747,248.301, compared to QR 652,499,570,964.819 in the previous session.

European shares eased on Tuesday as heavyweight energy and healthcare stocks lost ground, while investors weighed the potential impact of a US government shutdown that could delay the release of the closely-watched monthly jobs data. The pan-European STOXX 600 (.STOXX), opened new tab slipped 0.2% to 554.7 points, though set for its third successive monthly gain and a more than 2% gain for the quarter. Heavyweight oil and gas stocks dipped 0.8%, tracking declining oil prices. France's TotalEnergies and the UK's BP fell more than 1% each. Healthcare stocks also shed 0.3%, with Denmark's Novo Nordisk and the UK's AstraZeneca down about 1% each. On the economic data front in Europe, the UK economy grew 0.3% in the second quarter, French preliminary inflation stood at 1.1% in September and German retail sales unexpectedly fell in August. Britain's ASOS slid 11.4%.

European shares nudged up on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve lowered borrowing costs for the first time since December, while shares of SIG plummeted after the Swiss-based company issued a profit warning. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.5% to 553.49 points, in broad-based gains.In Denmark, Novo Nordisk rose 2.6%.SIG Group slid 20%.Britain's Next also lost 5.5%.

European stocks rose in early trading on Monday, supported by bank shares, as investors await a busy week of central bank meetings, including the Federal Reserve's (US central bank) meeting.The Stoxx 600 index rose 0.2 percent to 556.2 points, with the interest-sensitive banking sector leading gains, up 0.8 percent.Shares of French fuel retailer Rubis rose 6.7 percent, topping the Stoxx 600 index's gainers list. The company's value is estimated at approximately USD 3.5 billion.The French CAC 40 index rose 0.4 percent, with shares of local banks such as Societe Generale up 1.3 percent, while both BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole rose about 0.9 percent.

Meituan’s shares dropped the most since April after warning of losses this quarter from a price-based battle with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd and JD.com Inc, wiping out a combined $27bn in market value from the three Internet commerce leaders.China’s food delivery leader issued its dire prediction after reporting “irrational competition” eradicated most of its profit in the June quarter. That spooked investors already nervous about deepening losses in the online arena, prompting a series of downgrades on Meituan. Shares in Alibaba and JD both slid about 5%, while Meituan was down 13% at one point. The Hang Seng Tech Index led losses in Asia on Thursday, slumping as much as 2.3%.The plunge in profitability illustrates how Meituan is facing its greatest challenge in years from twin rivals that — till recently — had largely ceded the domestic meal sector. That changed in 2025 when JD.com, pursuing growth during a consumption downturn, and Alibaba’s Ele.me began offering generous subsidies to cash-strapped diners.The Beijing-based company now expects “significant losses” for its core local commerce business including food delivery in the current quarter, Chief Financial Officer Chen Shaohui told analysts on a post-earnings call on Wednesday.“We expect there will be continued fierce competition in the near term,” Chen said. “That will bring negative impact on our financial results.”The three-way battle in the food arena eroded profitability across the sector and forced Meituan to defend its core business on multiple fronts. This month, JD.com reported a halving in net income for the quarter. Alibaba has posted muted growth and is set to report earnings on Friday.In past months, the trio has invested billions of dollars in incentives and in hiring delivery riders. This strategy backfired with investors, who sold off shares in Meituan and JD.com, erasing roughly $100bn of their combined market value at one point.Following a warning from industry regulators, the three corporations in August pledged to cease their “disorderly competition” and avoid a self-destructive price war.Faced with margin pressure at home, Meituan is looking overseas. Its own aggressive pricing strategy forced Deliveroo Plc to retreat from Hong Kong after a decade of operating in the city.