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A ship carrying more than 700,000 barrels of Russian crude oil has arrived in the Philippines, a source with knowledge of the matter told AFP Thursday, days after the country declared a national energy emergency over the Middle East war.The purchase, unthinkable before long-time treaty ally the US eased sanctions tied to Russia's war in Ukraine, comes as the import-dependent archipelago scrambles to expand its options in a suddenly volatile oil market.The Sierra Leone-flagged Sara Sky and its cargo from Russia's ESPO pipeline arrived Monday, with documents showing the consignee as Petron Corp, operator of the Philippines' sole oil refinery, said the source, who asked to remain anonymous as they were not authorised to speak to the press.The Philippines has seen the price of fuel hit historic highs since the US-Israeli war with Iran forced the partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with President Ferdinand Marcos saying the country's dwindling stocks could last about 45 more days.Presidential spokeswoman Claire Castro later confirmed the Russian oil purchase to reporters in a group chat on a messaging app.An AFP journalist Thursday saw the Sara Sky at anchor in Limay port just outside Manila, where the Petron refinery is located. It is believed to be the first shipment of Russian oil to the country in five years.Ramon Ang, CEO of Petron, told AFP last week the company was "in talks" to potentially purchase Russian oil. Ang declined Thursday to confirm the arrival of the shipment.President Marcos said on Wednesday that the Philippines was casting a wide net in its search for fuel."We have not only gone to our... traditional oil suppliers, we have tried to explore other sources that are not affected by the war that is ongoing in the Middle East," he said in a press briefing addressing the state of emergency."Nothing is off the table. We are looking at everything, everything that we can do."Asked about the Russian oil, the Philippines' foreign affairs department told AFP Thursday the country would co-operate with "all possible partners to contribute to regional and global stability, balanced with our duty to protect and secure Philippine national interests".The US this month eased some restrictions on sales of Russian crude, allowing countries to purchase oil that was already at sea until April 11.Ateneo de Manila University economist Ser Pena Reyes said buying the Russian crude — equivalent to about two days of national demand — was a pragmatic move that might help stabilise prices in the short term.Ongoing geopolitical volatility, however, made Moscow less attractive as a long-term partner, he told AFP."Russia can be a useful supplementary supplier... but the Philippines will likely benefit more from a balanced approach, maintaining strong ties with traditional partners while gradually investing in renewable energy and regional energy cooperation," Pena Reyes said.The Department of Energy on Thursday separately announced the arrival of 142,000 barrels of government-procured diesel, part of its target of "up to 2mn barrels of additional supply for the country", it said in a statement.Energy secretary Sharon Garin told AFP the shipment had come from Japan.Earlier in the day, Garin said the department had taken the "proactive step" of activating a 20bn-peso ($332mn) emergency fund aimed at securing fuel supplies. 

Ireland will cut excise duty on fuels until the end ‌of May as part of a 250 ​million euro ($290 million) ‌package to cushion the economic impact ‌of ⁠the Middle East ‌conflict.The surging price of ‌crude oil has led to prices at some Irish ⁠service stations rising above 2 euros per litre of unleaded fuel, a level last reached in 2022 at the start of the Ukraine conflict.A cut to excise duty of 15 euro cents per litre on petrol and 20 ​cents on diesel will take effect from midnight Tuesday, the government said.Prime Minister Micheal Martin told a ‌news conference Tuesday ⁠that the ​measures are "targeted and temporary" and will be reviewed ​subject to market developments.The government will also pause the National Oil Reserves Agency (NORA) levy for two months, which will reduce the price of motoring fuel and home heating oil by an additional two cents per litre, but this will require the passing of additional legislation.The agency is responsible for the maintenance ‌of Ireland's strategic supplies of ‌oil and is ⁠funded though the levy.Heating payments to social welfare ⁠recipients will ⁠be extended for four weeks and there will be enhancements to a rebate programme for hauliers.Finance Minister Simon Harris on Sunday said the government would limit the initial package to leave room for further ​help if the energy shock persists.The European Commission suggested cuts to national taxes on fuel as one way member states could curb surging energy prices. Italy has also temporarily cut excise duties, while Spain on Friday proposed wider measures worth 5 billion euros, including reductions in fuel prices and electricity ‌bills. 

Iraq will keep crude oil production at around 1.4mn barrels per day, ‌Oil Minister Hayan Abdel-Ghani was quoted ​as saying on ‌Thursday, less than a third of ‌the ⁠level ‌before the US-Israeli conflict ‌with Iran.According to the state news ⁠agency, the minister said that 200,000 bpd is being transported by truck through Turkey, Syria, and Jordan and that Iraq has put in place a plan to manage the current disruptions.Oil production ​from Iraq's main southern oilfields, where most of its oil is produced and exported, has ‌plunged 70% to just 1.3mn ​bpd, sources told Reuters on March ​8, as the country is unable to export via the Gulf due to the war.The drop in production and exports is set to strain Iraq's already fragile finances as the state relies on crude sales for nearly all public spending and more ‌than 90% of ‌its income.Under pressure ⁠to mitigate the losses, the oil ⁠ministry ⁠has asked the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) if it would pump at least 100,000 bpd from its state-managed Kirkuk oilfields to Turkey's Ceyhan port, sources told Reuters on Wednesday. The ministry ​said the KRG has not yet responded to the request.Abdel-Ghani was quoted as saying on Thursday that Iraq will sign an agreement on exporting oil through the Ceyhan pipeline, but he did not give further details. 

The official price of Oman oil for May delivery reached $124.68 per barrel (pb) today, up $24.37 from Tuesday's price of $100.31.The average monthly price of Omani crude oil for March delivery stood at $62.17 pb, up $0.08 from the price recorded for February delivery.

Brent crude jumped 10% to ‌about $80 a barrel over the ‌counter on Sunday, oil traders said, ‌while analysts predicted that prices could climb as high as $100 after US and Israeli strikes on Iran plunged the Middle East into a new war. The global oil benchmark has rallied this year and reached $73 a barrel on Friday for its highest since July, buoyed by growing concern over the potential attacks that arrived a day later. Futures trading is closed over the weekend. “While the military attacks ​are themselves supportive for oil prices, the key factor here is the closing of the Strait of Hormuz,” said Ajay Parmar, director of energy and refining at ‌ICIS. Most tanker owners, oil majors and trading houses ​have suspended crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural gas shipments via ​the Strait of Hormuz, trade sources said, after Tehran warned ships against moving through the waterway. More than 20% of global oil is moved through the Strait of Hormuz. “We expect prices to open (after the weekend) much closer to $100 a barrel and perhaps exceed that level if we see a prolonged outage of the Strait,” Parmar said. Middle East leaders have warned Washington that a war on Iran could lead to oil prices jumping to more ‌than $100 a barrel, said RBC ‌analyst Helima Croft. Rabobank analysts slightly less bullish, seeing prices holding above $90 a barrel in the near term. The Opec+ group of oil producers agreed on Sunday to raise output by 206,000 barrels per day (bpd) from April, a modest increase representing less than 0.2% of global demand. While some alternate infrastructure could be used to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, the net impact from its closure would be a loss of 8mn to 10mn bpd of crude oil supply even after diverting some flows through Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline and Abu Dhabi’s pipeline, said Rystad energy economist Jorge Leon. Rystad expects prices to rise by $20 to about $92 a barrel when trade opens. The Iran crisis also prompted Asian governments and refiners to assess oil stockpiles and alternative shipping routes and supplies. Kpler analysts said in a webinar on Sunday that India might turn to ‌Russian oil to ​make up for potential Middle East supply loss. 

Crude oil sales from the world’s biggest exporter, Saudi Arabia, are set to surge as 2026 begins, with customers from the US to Asia all set to receive more supply amid growing concerns over an oil glut.Chinese refiners are poised to receive around 50mn barrels from Saudi Arabia, the leading member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. They will load next month and are equivalent to some 1.6mn barrels a day — and it’ll be the highest allocated amount since August, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Those barrels will likely arrive in late January or in February.Meanwhile, there’s 509,000 barrels a day of crude from the kingdom bound for the US that had loaded in November, according to data from Kpler Ltd. That’s likely to be sustained, with OilX, a unit of Energy Aspects, estimating that January arrival of Saudi crude to the US will hit 594,000 barrels a day. The inflows would be the highest seen since 2022 and are weighing down prices of oil in the US Gulf Coast market.It’s all adding to signs that global oil markets will be awash with supply next year, as producers, including those within Opec, ramp up drilling at a time when demand growth is set to remain tepid. Opec and its allies had earlier agreed to revive oil production in the final months of this year in an apparent effort to regain market share.With oil prices falling, Opec+ last month said it will pause further production increases during the first quarter of 2026. Among leading forecasters, the International Energy Agency said markets will be oversupplied by 3.8mn barrels a day in 2026.Japan, as well, has seen higher Saudi flows, with November-loading crude bound for the Asian nation at around 1.3mn barrels a day, which would be the most since April 2023, Kpler data also showed. Projections indicated a higher rate of Japan-bound Aramco exports for December loading — over 1.4mn barrels a day — although the number can still change.The oil-derivative market is also flashing signs of oversupply. The forward curve for the Middle Eastern benchmark, Dubai, is hovering around a contango structure — where later-dated contracts trade at a premium to more prompt ones, indicating weak near-term demand. 

It’s a great time to be an oil refiner — but a less great time to be filling up at the pump.In Europe, the US and Asia, giant plants are making money by doing what they’ve always done: converting crude oil into vital fuels and selling them at a profit.What’s different today is the scale of the threat to global supplies: Relentless attacks on Russia’s energy infrastructure, outages at key plants in Asia and Africa and permanent closures across Europe and the US have removed millions of barrels of diesel and gasoline from the world market.On top of these real-world impacts are traders’ fears of what’s yet to come: imminent US sanctions on Lukoil PJSC and Rosneft PJSC and fresh European Union curbs on fuels made from Russian crude threaten already squeezed supply-chains.The result is ongoing pressure on costs at the pump despite a fall in global oil prices — something that’s unlikely to sit well with a US administration that sees “affordable energy” as essential.“Global refinery margins are astronomical,” said Eugene Lindell, head of refined products at consultancy FGE NexantECA. “The signal you’re giving the global refining system, no matter where the refinery is located, is to just run flat out.”In the US, Europe and Asia, margins are the highest they’ve been at this time of year since at least 2018, according to fair value data compiled by Bloomberg. The profits are so good that refiners’ stock prices are also surging: Processors including Valero Energy Corp and Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS have seen stellar rises, while Orlen SA gained more than 100% year-to-date.While expectations of a glut are dragging on crude prices, disruption to the global refining system is limiting how much oil can be turned into products like gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. While that benefits the processors still running, it also means the slump in headline oil prices isn’t being felt at the pump.A constant stream of attacks on Russia’s refineries — just this month, Ukraine claimed strikes on the Saratov, Orsk and Volgograd plants — is hampering fuel production. Last month, Russia’s huge oil product exports were on course to hit a multi-year low, and that was before drone attacks damaged key loading facilities in the port city of Tuapse.Product supplies are being further squeezed by outages elsewhere. In Kuwait, the giant 615,000 barrel-a-day Al-Zour refinery recently had only one of its three crude processing units operating, while a key gasoline-production unit at Nigeria’s huge Dangote refinery is reportedly scheduled to halt for about 50 days of maintenance in coming weeks, having only recently begun restarting.Meanwhile, US crude runs in recent weeks have been more than a million barrels a day lower than the same time last year, a huge drop from the peak summer demand months, when processing was at its highest seasonal level since 2019. The country has seen multiple refinery closures in recent years, as has western Europe, further pressuring fuel supplies.“Global refining activity has been challenged by a series of unplanned outages in October, further constraining product markets and pushing margins even higher,” the International Energy Agency said Thursday. Increased profits have prompted the watchdog to raise its estimates for runs at margin-sensitive refining assets in Europe and Asia this month and next.In the US, the upshot is a rise in the average price of diesel since President Trump took office, and little change in the cost of gasoline, which on Thursday stood at $3.08 a gallon. Benchmark crude futures have meanwhile come off about 20% since his second inauguration, amid forecasts of a large surplus.Supercharging these ongoing real-world supply pressures are traders’ fears over what’s on the horizon.“The current strength in refining margins is at least partially being driven by uncertainty around the upcoming US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, as well as the EU’s January prohibitions on Russian products,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group.FGE’s Lindell estimates Lukoil and Rosneft’s combined Russia oil product exports are more than 800,000 barrels a day. The global seaborne trade in oil products is about 22mn barrels a day, according to Clarkson Research Services Ltd., a unit of the world’s largest shipbroker.Any major disruption to those exports would be a shock to the global fuels market, though the extent to which those barrels would really disappear is unclear. Russia has shown that it often manages to work around sanctions.There are also questions about what comes next for refineries outside Russia in which Lukoil is involved, including Bulgaria’s Burgas facility, the Netherlands’ Zeeland plant and Romania’s Petrotel.Then there are the EU restrictions, coming into force January 21, which restrict the delivery of petroleum products made from Russian crude into the bloc. Precisely how these will end up impacting Europe’s diesel supplies from India and Turkey — both of which have also been key importers of Russian crude — remains to be seen.“The sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil, on top of the recent sanctions package out of the EU, tightened the noose around Russia’s neck,” said Carolyn Kissane, an associate dean at the Center for Global Affairs at New York University, where she teaches about energy and climate change. “At the same time, you’re seeing more attacks driven by Ukraine against Russian infrastructure, which is a hit to the products market.”

OilCrude prices recovered from a midday dip on Friday on hopes Hungary can use Russian crude oil as US President Donald Trump met Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban at the White House.Brent crude futures settled at $63.63 while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished at $59.75. For the week, both benchmarks fell by around 2%.Hungary has maintained its reliance on Russian energy since the start of the 2022 conflict in Ukraine, prompting criticism from several European Union and Nato allies.Private reports also pointed to a weakening US labour market. US Labor Department employment reports are not being issued because of the government shutdown.Meanwhile, Opec+ decided on Sunday to increase output slightly in December. However, the group also paused further increases for the first quarter of next year, wary of a supply glut.GasAsian spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices were flat this week, as ample supplies and soft demand kept a lid on gains.The average LNG price for December delivery into northeast Asia held at $11.10 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), industry sources estimated.**media[378974]**Spot charter rates have continued to rise, which has been the primary driver behind a wider spread between Asian and European prices, with Asian prices having to hold a larger premium to continue attracting the same flows, analysts said.In Europe, the Dutch TTF price settled at $10.57 per mmBtu, recording a weekly gain of 1.0%. Gas inventories in Europe have remained around 83%, as gas demand is still weak due to weather conditions, but LNG imports have remained high.This article was supplied by the Abdullah bin Hamad Al-Attiyah International Foundation for Energy and Sustainable Development.

The Kuwaiti crude oil price rose $1.46 during Wednesday's trading to reach $64.53 per barrel (pb) compared with Tuesday's $63.07 pb, Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) said on Thursday. Globally, brent futures rose by $3.03 to reach $64.35 pb and West Texas Intermediate climbed by $1.42 to reach $59.92 pb.

Japan recorded a current account surplus for the seventh consecutive month in August, driven mainly by lower prices of energy imports such as crude oil and natural gas. Preliminary data from the Ministry of Finance showed a surplus of 3.77 trillion yen (about $25 billion). The current account, a key indicator of a nation's trade and investment flows with the rest of the world, remained in positive territory but fell 4.8% from a year earlier, according to Japan's public broadcaster NHK World. The decline was largely attributed to a drop in the primary income surplus, reflecting lower dividends from overseas subsidiaries of Japanese financial and automotive companies compared with last year.

Oil prices slipped nearly 1% on Monday after Iraq’s Kurdistan region resumed crude oil exports, and as OPEC+ plans another oil output hike in November. Brent crude futures fell 63 cents, or 0.90%, to $69.50 a barrel, after settling at their highest level since July 31 on Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was trading at $65.07 a barrel, down 65 cents, or 0.99%, giving back most of Friday’s gains. Both Brent and WTI rose more than 4% last week, marking their biggest weekly gains since June.