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Market EyeWeak global oil prices had its reflection on the Qatar Stock Exchange, which Thursday saw its key index settle 45 points lower and capitalisation melt about QR3bn as about 56% of the traded constituents ended in the red. The local retail investors were seen net sellers as the 20-stock Qatar Index shed 0.42% to 10,644.73 points, although it touched an intraday high of 10,722 points. The foreign institutions turned net profit takers in the main market, whose year-to-date gains truncated to 0.7%. The banks and real estate sectors witnessed higher than average selling pressure in the main bourse, whose capitalisation melted QR2.66bn or 0.42% to QR636.73bn, mainly on small and microcap segments.The foreign individuals were seen net sellers, albeit at lower levels, in the main market, which saw as many as 140 exchange traded funds (sponsored by AlRayan Bank and Doha Bank) valued at QR807 trade across three deals. However, the domestic funds were seen net buyers in the main bourse, whose trade turnover and volumes were on the decline. The Islamic index was seen declining slower than the other indices of the main market, which saw no trading of treasury bills. The Arab individuals turned bullish in the main bourse, which saw no trading of sovereign bonds. The Total Return Index shed 0.42%, the All Share Index by 0.41% and the All Islamic Index by 0.28% in the main market. The banks and financial services sector index declined 0.78%, realty (0.62%), transport (0.32%), industrials (0.05%) and telecom (0.04%); while consumer goods and services gained 0.78% and insurance 0.71%. As many as 20 stocks gained, while 29 declined and three were unchanged. Major shakers in the main market included Qatar German Medical Devices, Mazaya Qatar, Salam International Investment, AlRayan Bank, Mekdam Holding, Qatar Islamic Bank, QNB, Meeza and Nakilat.In the junior bourse, Techno Q saw its shares depreciate in value. Nevertheless, Qatar General Insurance, Al Mahhar Holding, Widam Food, Qatar National Cement, Baladna, Woqod, Aamal Company, Estithmar Holding and Qamco were among the movers in the main market.The local retail investors turned net sellers to the tune of QR6.98mn compared with net buyers of QR9.04mn the previous day. The foreign funds were net sellers to the extent of QR6.16mn against net buyers of QR26.06bn on November 26. The foreign individuals turned net profit takers to the extent of QR0.06mn compared with net buyers of QR2.87mn a day ago. The Gulf institutions’ net buying weakened substantially to QR1.62mn against QR18.75mn on Wednesday. However, the domestic funds were net buyers to the tune of QR9.38mn compared with net sellers of QR54.78mn the previous day. The Arab individuals turned net buyers to the extent of QR2.12mn against net sellers of QR0.77mn on November 26. The Arab institutions’ net buying strengthened marginally to QR0.05mn against QR.02mn on Wednesday. The Gulf individuals were net buyers to the tune of QR0.04mn compared with net sellers of QR1.17mn the previous day. The main market saw a 13% contraction in trade volumes to 171.69mn shares, 15% in value to QR399.19mn and 21% in deals to 18,671. 

Bearish oil traders scarred by past geopolitical price spikes are increasingly favouring safer ways to position for a looming glut.With the fresh uncertainty surrounding Russian supply, traders are shifting toward spreads, the price differences between two futures contracts, and options, which grant the holder the right but not the obligation to buy or sell oil at a set price. Those relatively less risky strategies compared to wagering on outright futures allow traders to bet on lower prices en route to a widely telegraphed oversupply of crude next year.They also serve to limit losses in the event new sanctions against Moscow, a major oil producer, prove more disruptive than feared.The activity highlights a tug-of-war between the competing narratives.There’s supply risk in oil-rich countries from Russia to Venezuela, where the political regime has met the ire of the Trump administration. Yet traders remain captivated by growing supply from both outside and within the Opec+ alliance, with the International Energy Agency predicting a record surplus for 2026. Over 1bn barrels are currently sailing across the world’s oceans with many looking for homes.“We’re stuck in a holding pattern,” said Rebecca Babin of CIBC Private Wealth said. “This isn’t a market without risk — it’s a market without clarity or conviction.”Some of the largest holdings in one-month calendar spread options, a niche type of option contract used for expressing views on over or under-supply, are on weaker near-term spreads. The cost of buying bearish put options has risen over the past few days, a sign of increasing expectations for a price drop amid ongoing peace talks between Ukraine and Russia. Even so, open interest in calls and puts has remained roughly balanced across both Brent and WTI, reflecting a market that’s hedging in both directions.Read More: US Warship Cuts Path of Russian Tanker Headed to VenezuelaThe conflicting pulls are causing an industry-wide sense of déjà vu: past geopolitical shocks, such the Israel-Iran war in June, drove prices up without actually reducing supply and punished those with outright bearish bets.“We don’t need to predict the next $10 move in crude,” Cayler Capital, an oil-focused commodity trading adviser run by Brent Belote, wrote in a letter to investors seen by Bloomberg. “We need to survive the next $3 fake-out and capture the $1.50 dislocation no one else wants to trade.”In another part of the letter, Belote categorises fundamentals as “fine” and sentiment as “confused.”Wagers are growing in one-month calendar spread contracts at levels from -$0.25 to -$1 a barrel per month. The sentiment isn’t overwhelmingly bearish, though, with sizeable open interest at $0.75, which would profit from a return to tighter supply conditions. The premium that front-month WTI futures command over the next contract, known as the prompt spread, is currently trading at 22 cents.WTI calendar spread option open interest by strike, as of November 24That hasn’t eliminated the need for cautious positioning amid mounting evidence that the latest batch of US sanctions against Russian oil giants Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC are rewiring trade flows: Moscow’s oil sold at the cheapest level in over two-and-a-half years last week, and even that discount wasn’t enough to win back Asian buyers.Options markets are “pricing a quieter 2026 but maintaining a risk premium for episodic spikes,” JPMorgan analysts, including head of commodities research Natasha Kaneva, wrote in a note.The bank expects a “very gradual drift lower” in prices and recommends Brent put spreads and ratio put spreads. 

Saudi Aramco has chosen Citigroup Inc to help arrange a potential multibillion-dollar stake sale in its oil export and storage terminals business, according to people familiar with the matter.The US investment bank was selected in recent days after a pitching process that drew proposals from several other Wall Street lenders, the people said, asking not to be identified as the matter is private.The mandate is a win for Citigroup, whose Chief Executive Officer Jane Fraser has made a renewed effort to win business from large corporates and sovereign wealth funds in the Middle East. Aramco had tapped JPMorgan Chase & Co as a sell-side adviser when it previously sold stakes in its oil and gas pipeline infrastructure in separate transactions.The Saudi oil giant is expected to kick-off a formal sale process as early as next year and is likely to see interest from large infrastructure funds, the people said. Discussions are at an early stage and no final decisions have been made on the timing or structure of the transaction, they said.Representatives for Citigroup and Aramco declined to comment.Aramco is considering options including selling an equity stake in the business, Bloomberg News reported this week. It aims to raise billions of dollars from such a sale, people familiar with the matter said at the time.The plans are part of a broader attempt by the firm to sell a range of assets, including potentially part of its real estate portfolio.Oil prices have dropped about 16% this year and while the impact of that drop on Aramco’s earnings has been tempered by higher output, the firm has delayed some projects and looked to sell assets to free up cash for investments.The deals now being considered would mark a step up from previous transactions that were focused on stakes in pipeline infrastructure.Aramco’s main oil storage and export infrastructure is located at Ras Tanura on the Arabian Gulf and the company has similar terminals on the Red Sea. Internationally, the firm owns stakes in product terminals in the Netherlands and leases crude as well as product storage at main trade hubs in Egypt and at Okinawa in Japan.Earlier this year, a BlackRock Inc-led group signed an $11bn lease deal for facilities that serve Aramco’s Jafurah gas project in the kingdom. 

OilOil prices eased about 1% on Friday to settle at one-month low as the US pushed for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal that could boost global oil supplies, while uncertainty over US interest rates curbed investors' risk appetite.Brent crude futures settled at $62.56, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished at $58.06. For the week, Brent fell by 2.8% and WTI fell by 3.4%. Market sentiment turned bearish as Washington pushed for the Ukraine-Russia peace plan, even as sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil were set to take effect on Friday.Russia was the second-biggest producer of oil in the world after the US in 2024. Meanwhile, a stronger US dollar also weighed on oil prices. The greenback hit a six-month high versus a basket of other currencies, making dollar-priced oil more expensive for many global buyers.GasAsian spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices rose slightly this week but remained around the $11 area on well-stocked inventories and weak demand. The average LNG price for December delivery into northeast Asia held at $11.66 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), industry sources estimated.Asian spot gas prices built up their premium to European gas prices for near months at the TTF hub, mainly to account for an increase in spot charter rates that meant drawing cargoes over longer distances to Asia rather than Europe would cost more. In Europe, Dutch and British gas prices edged lower on Friday as expectations of stronger wind power output and warmer temperatures curbed gas demand.Prices rose earlier last week as a cold spell drove heating demand higher. The Dutch TTF price settled at $10.20 per mmBtu, recording a weekly loss of 3.4%.

The biggest oil company in the United Arab Emirates has secured a key European approval that brings it a step closer to completing a €12bn ($14bn) takeover of Covestro AG, part of a global deals push to create a natural gas and chemicals leader.Abu Dhabi National Oil Co won a conditional European Union go-ahead for the proposed buyout after addressing regulators’ concerns around state subsidies. The European Commission said on Friday that an offer from Adnoc to maintain Covestro’s intellectual property in Europe, as well as concessions around state guarantees, had settled earlier concerns, with the commitments valid for 10 years.The deal will be the largest takeover of a European firm by a Middle Eastern company and marks the region’s ambitions in employing its hydrocarbon wealth to build international networks. Adnoc and regional rival Saudi Aramco are snapping up liquefied natural gas supply contracts to feed growing trading arms.The Gulf countries are betting that demand for natural gas and chemicals will continue to grow as inputs for power and building blocks for consumer goods like the plastics, packaging and lightweight materials that go into mobile phones, computers and cars. Adnoc’s offer would be a cash injection into an industry that’s suffering falling prices and slack margins, hurting profit across the chemicals sector in Europe.The planned purchase of Covestro would give Adnoc control over a German company that supplies materials for some of the world’s most prominent phone and carmakers. Adnoc would own Covestro through its investment unit XRG, set up in last year as the company’s international platform for natural gas, chemicals and energy solutions.A year ago, Abu Dhabi launched the high-profile energy investment firm hoping to deploy billions of dollars on deals around the world. The company had early successes with gas deals in the US, Africa and central Asia. XRG’s biggest effort yet fell apart in September when the firm dropped its planned $19bn takeover of Australian natural gas producer Santos Ltd. It bounced back with a deal announced last week to explore buying into an LNG project in Argentina.In July, the commission, the EU’s antitrust arm, opened a full-scale investigation into the Covestro deal under tough new foreign subsidies rules. EU officials warned at the time that Adnoc’s state funding may have given it an unfair advantage over rivals with less-deep pockets, concerns that were allayed during negotiations between the parties.“Commitments offered by Adnoc effectively address the potential negative effects by allowing market participants to access key Covestro patents in the field of sustainability,” EU competition chief Teresa Ribera said in a statement. “Clear, pre-defined access to these patents will enable others to innovate and advance research in an area that is critical for Europe’s future.”Adnoc also transferred to XRG its holdings in four subsidiaries listed on the Abu Dhabi stock exchange in September. The transaction will bolster XRG’s balance sheet by providing it with cash flows from companies with total market capitalisation of nearly $120bn.

OilOil prices settled more than 2% higher on Friday as Russia's port of Novorossiisk halted oil exports following a Ukrainian drone attack that hit an oil depot in the Russian energy hub, stoking supply concerns.Brent crude futures settled at $64.39, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished at $60.09. For the week, Brent rose by 1.2% and WTI rose by 0.6%.**media[381904]**The Russian port of Novorossiisk paused oil exports, equivalent to 2.2mn barrels per day, or 2% of global supply, and oil pipeline monopoly Transneft suspended crude supplies to the outlet.Ukraine on Friday said it separately struck an oil refinery in Russia's Saratov region and a fuel storage facility in nearby Engels overnight.Investors are assessing how recent attacks impact long-term Russian supply while watching how Western sanctions affect the country’s oil output and trade flows.GasAsian spot LNG prices were flat for a second consecutive week, as steady supplies of contracted cargoes and overall weak demand across the region outweighed modest spot market interest.The average LNG price for December delivery into northeast Asia held at $11.10 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), industry sources estimated.Current price levels are still too expensive for most price sensitive buyers, but minor supportive news came from Indonesia and Egypt that signalled higher domestic demand, adding a bit of tightness to the current circumstances.**media[381905]**In Europe, the Dutch TTF price settled at $10.56 per mmBtu, recording a weekly loss of 0.1%. Gas prices were under bearish pressure as oversupply, weak Asian demand, high freight rates, and strong US liquefaction kept cargoes in the Atlantic basin.This article was supplied by the Abdullah bin Hamad Al-Attiyah International Foundation for Energy and Sustainable Development.

It’s a great time to be an oil refiner — but a less great time to be filling up at the pump.In Europe, the US and Asia, giant plants are making money by doing what they’ve always done: converting crude oil into vital fuels and selling them at a profit.What’s different today is the scale of the threat to global supplies: Relentless attacks on Russia’s energy infrastructure, outages at key plants in Asia and Africa and permanent closures across Europe and the US have removed millions of barrels of diesel and gasoline from the world market.On top of these real-world impacts are traders’ fears of what’s yet to come: imminent US sanctions on Lukoil PJSC and Rosneft PJSC and fresh European Union curbs on fuels made from Russian crude threaten already squeezed supply-chains.The result is ongoing pressure on costs at the pump despite a fall in global oil prices — something that’s unlikely to sit well with a US administration that sees “affordable energy” as essential.“Global refinery margins are astronomical,” said Eugene Lindell, head of refined products at consultancy FGE NexantECA. “The signal you’re giving the global refining system, no matter where the refinery is located, is to just run flat out.”In the US, Europe and Asia, margins are the highest they’ve been at this time of year since at least 2018, according to fair value data compiled by Bloomberg. The profits are so good that refiners’ stock prices are also surging: Processors including Valero Energy Corp and Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS have seen stellar rises, while Orlen SA gained more than 100% year-to-date.While expectations of a glut are dragging on crude prices, disruption to the global refining system is limiting how much oil can be turned into products like gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. While that benefits the processors still running, it also means the slump in headline oil prices isn’t being felt at the pump.A constant stream of attacks on Russia’s refineries — just this month, Ukraine claimed strikes on the Saratov, Orsk and Volgograd plants — is hampering fuel production. Last month, Russia’s huge oil product exports were on course to hit a multi-year low, and that was before drone attacks damaged key loading facilities in the port city of Tuapse.Product supplies are being further squeezed by outages elsewhere. In Kuwait, the giant 615,000 barrel-a-day Al-Zour refinery recently had only one of its three crude processing units operating, while a key gasoline-production unit at Nigeria’s huge Dangote refinery is reportedly scheduled to halt for about 50 days of maintenance in coming weeks, having only recently begun restarting.Meanwhile, US crude runs in recent weeks have been more than a million barrels a day lower than the same time last year, a huge drop from the peak summer demand months, when processing was at its highest seasonal level since 2019. The country has seen multiple refinery closures in recent years, as has western Europe, further pressuring fuel supplies.“Global refining activity has been challenged by a series of unplanned outages in October, further constraining product markets and pushing margins even higher,” the International Energy Agency said Thursday. Increased profits have prompted the watchdog to raise its estimates for runs at margin-sensitive refining assets in Europe and Asia this month and next.In the US, the upshot is a rise in the average price of diesel since President Trump took office, and little change in the cost of gasoline, which on Thursday stood at $3.08 a gallon. Benchmark crude futures have meanwhile come off about 20% since his second inauguration, amid forecasts of a large surplus.Supercharging these ongoing real-world supply pressures are traders’ fears over what’s on the horizon.“The current strength in refining margins is at least partially being driven by uncertainty around the upcoming US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, as well as the EU’s January prohibitions on Russian products,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group.FGE’s Lindell estimates Lukoil and Rosneft’s combined Russia oil product exports are more than 800,000 barrels a day. The global seaborne trade in oil products is about 22mn barrels a day, according to Clarkson Research Services Ltd., a unit of the world’s largest shipbroker.Any major disruption to those exports would be a shock to the global fuels market, though the extent to which those barrels would really disappear is unclear. Russia has shown that it often manages to work around sanctions.There are also questions about what comes next for refineries outside Russia in which Lukoil is involved, including Bulgaria’s Burgas facility, the Netherlands’ Zeeland plant and Romania’s Petrotel.Then there are the EU restrictions, coming into force January 21, which restrict the delivery of petroleum products made from Russian crude into the bloc. Precisely how these will end up impacting Europe’s diesel supplies from India and Turkey — both of which have also been key importers of Russian crude — remains to be seen.“The sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil, on top of the recent sanctions package out of the EU, tightened the noose around Russia’s neck,” said Carolyn Kissane, an associate dean at the Center for Global Affairs at New York University, where she teaches about energy and climate change. “At the same time, you’re seeing more attacks driven by Ukraine against Russian infrastructure, which is a hit to the products market.”

The global oil market faces an even bigger surplus next year of as much as 4.09mn barrels per day as Opec+ producers and rivals lift output and demand growth slows, the International Energy Agency said on Thursday.The outlook from the IEA, which advises industrialised countries, is the latest warning that the oil market is heading for oversupply. A surplus of 4.09mn bpd would be equal to almost 4% of world demand, and is much larger than other analysts’ predictions.“Global oil market balances are looking increasingly lopsided, as world oil supply is forging ahead while oil demand growth remains modest by historical standards,” the IEA said in its monthly report.Opec+, or the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, has been boosting output since April. Other producers, such as the US and Brazil, are also increasing supply, adding to glut fears and weighing on prices.Oil prices edged higher to around $63 a barrel after the IEA report to recoup some of the 2% drop on Wednesday after Opec shifted its 2026 outlook to a small surplus, having earlier seen a sizeable deficit.Global oil supply will grow by around 3.1mn bpd in 2025, and 2.5mn bpd next year, each up by around 100,000 bpd on the month, the IEA said.Supply is rising faster than demand in the IEA’s view even after upward revisions on Thursday. The agency now expects oil demand to rise by 770,000 bpd next year, up 70,000 bpd from last month, citing increased needs in petrochemical plants.The short-term outlook in the IEA’s monthly report contrasts with the agency’s annual outlook on Wednesday, which sees global oil and gas demand potentially rising until 2050.Opec sees a surplus of just 20,000 bpd next year according to Reuters calculations based on its own monthly oil market report on Wednesday, although this marks a further retreat from its forecast of a sizeable deficit.Global oil output was 6.2mn bpd higher in October than at the start of this year, divided evenly between Opec+ and non-Opec producers, the IEA said. Top Opec producer Saudi Arabia contributed 1.5mn bpd of the increase, while Russia added just 120,000 bpd amid sanctions and Ukrainian attacks.Russian oil exports have continued largely unabated despite new US sanctions on Russian firms Rosneft and Lukoil, which still may have the most far-reaching impact yet on global oil markets, the IEA said.The IEA added that new entities have already started handling Russian exports as it adapts to sanctions. In October, companies MorExport, RusExport and NNK, which have only been active since May, lifted around 1mn bpd of Russian crude and fuels, it said.The Paris-based IEA also drew attention to a sharp rise in global oil inventories, which rose to their highest since July 2021 in September at just under 8bn barrels.The increase was driven by a sharp increase in waterborne oil in storage, which rose by 80mn barrels in September.Preliminary October data shows further rises for global stocks, again driven by increasing waterborne barrels, the agency added.

A buildup of a billion barrels of oil on the world’s oceans includes a disproportionately large amount of crude from nations subject to some kind of sanctions — a sign the measures are bringing a degree of disruption to the oil trade. Of the surge in oil on tankers since the end of August, as much as roughly 40% of the increase is barrels from Russia, Iran, Venezuela, or unclear origin, according to vessel-tracking data from Vortexa, Kpler and OilX. Even the lowest estimate, at about 20%, is a larger share of global crude production than the three nations have. The buildup doesn’t mean the barrels will never sell, but it is a threat to the revenues of sanctioned petrostates, with further ramifications for a global oil market that’s forecast to be headed for oversupply. While the increase partly reflects higher output, it also suggests some level of difficulty discharging. There’s also been a simultaneous surge in unsanctioned supplies. The fate of all that crude on water, affected by sanctions or not, will go a long way to shaping how oil prices move over the next few months, traders said. Caution over the latest Western measures is triggering some reshuffling of crude flows, with ripple effects for major importers like India and China, while a stretched out tanker fleet briefly sent daily shipping costs above $100,000 a day. “Some of this increase is attributed to stricter Western sanctions, which have left Russian oil stuck on ships and unable to discharge,” Clarksons Securities analysts including Frode Morkedal wrote. “Previous buyers have purchased replacements from the Middle East and the Atlantic.” The buildup in restricted oil is led by Russian supplies, according to a Bloomberg analysis of the data from the vessel-tracking firms. Russian seaborne shipments have risen in recent weeks, with the country pumping more oil as it unwinds earlier production cuts alongside partners in the OPEC+ group of oil producers. It’s likely that some crude is being diverted to export terminals as a result of Ukrainian attacks on Moscow’s oil infrastructure, particularly refineries. **media[381193]** An unprecedented Western clampdown on buyers of Russian barrels, meanwhile, is stopping some cargoes from discharging, with Indian refineries notably refraining from taking cargoes and signs that China might not be willing to pick up the slack. US sanctions on Russia’s two largest oil producers, Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, have made trading their oil even more difficult. Russia’s oil-related tax revenues fell year on year by more than 24% last month, according to Bloomberg calculations based on Finance Ministry data. Russia’s government already expects funds from oil and gas flowing into the budget this year to be the lowest since the pandemic of 2020. Iranian shipments have also surged, hitting the highest level in seven years in October, the same month when the US placed sanctions on a major Chinese terminal for its role in buying barrels from Iran. OilX, a unit of consultant Energy Aspects, says its oil-on-water data covers confirmed shipments, including volumes from countries such as Iran and Venezuela, which often experience delays due to dark fleet activity. As a result, the volume may be revised higher over time. Vortexa says that in general its oil-on-water numbers tend to overcount and be revised lower as ships discharge. But the current situation is far from usual. To be sure, there is plenty of non-sanctioned oil in tankers at sea, too, as global output increases. OilX data show that the single largest contributor to the increase since the end of August has been Saudi Arabia, closely followed by the US and Russia. The kingdom shipped oil overseas at the highest rate in two-and-a-half years last month, as it continues to reclaim market share lost over years of output curbs from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies. At the same time, the amount of American crude at sea has climbed after shipments hit their highest monthly average level since July 2024 in October. Volumes rose after processors in Asia snapped up US cargoes over the summer when Middle Eastern prices jumped relative to other regions, in what is called an arbitrage window. But the barrels on water from nations subject to sanctions represent a larger part of the increase than their collective slice of global crude production of about 17%, according to OilX data. “It’s clear that there is a lot of crude on the water now,” Brian Mandell, executive vice president of marketing and commercial at Phillips 66, said on an earnings call late last month. “We’re kind of waiting to see what those crudes are.”

The International Energy Agency (IEA) announced that global demand for oil and gas may continue to rise until 2050, marking a departing from its previous forecasts that had predicted a faster shift toward clean fuels.The Agency, headquartered in France, said in its World Energy Outlook 2025 report that oil demand could reach 113 million barrels per day by mid-century, an increase of 1 3% compared to 2024 levels. It added that global energy demand is expected to rise by 15% by 2035 under the current policies scenario, which assumes the continuation of existing government measures without factoring in more ambitious climate goals.The report also pointed to a significant potential increase in liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects, with around 300 billion cubic meters of additional export capacity to be added by 2030. This would expand the market from 560 billion cubic meters in 2024 to more than one trillion cubic meters by 2050, driven by growing demand in sectors such as artificial intelligence and data centers.The IEA further projected that investments in data centers could reach USD 580 billion in 2025, surpassing global annual spending on oil, which currently stands at around USD 540 billion.

India’s Reliance Industries Ltd is seeking to sell cargoes of Middle Eastern oil, an unusual move for a refiner that’s normally a major buyer.There’s heightened focus on the actions of the nation’s oil processors since the US slapped sanctions on key supplier Russia. Reliance has been trying to sell grades including Murban and Upper Zakum on the spot market to domestic and international refiners, according to people at the companies receiving those offers. They asked not to be named as they aren’t authorised to speak publicly.India’s largest privately owned refiner, controlled by billionaire Mukesh Ambani, is typically a major importer of oil from the Middle East and Russia. The recent sanctions on Moscow’s two largest oil companies have spurred expectations that Indian processors will have to buy more barrels from countries such as Saudi Arabia.Yet the offers suggest Reliance has ample supply for now, though the reasons why are unclear. Traders are watching Indian buying patterns closely to see whether refiners will hoover up grades tied to benchmark crude prices — potentially supporting oil futures — or find ways to sustain imports from Russia.The Mumbai-based company has already sold a cargo of Iraqi Basrah Medium crude to a Greek buyer. It’s unclear how much crude Reliance is looking to offload in total; and it could choose to sell some but not all of the cargoes.A Reliance Industries spokesperson didn’t reply to an email seeking comment.Refiners in India, the world’s third-largest importer of crude, are busy trying to diversify their supply sources after Western sanctions made buying discounted Russian oil more difficult and risky.Reliance had been Indian’s top importer of Russian crude this year, but snapped up millions of barrels from the Middle East last month following the White House penalties against Russia, which were aimed at depriving the Kremlin of funds for its war in Ukraine.Reliance said last month that it would abide by the US sanctions, and would be adapting its operations to meet the compliance requirements. The refiner previously had a term supply deal for around 500,000 barrels a day from Russian producer Rosneft PJSC.

OilCrude prices recovered from a midday dip on Friday on hopes Hungary can use Russian crude oil as US President Donald Trump met Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban at the White House.Brent crude futures settled at $63.63 while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished at $59.75. For the week, both benchmarks fell by around 2%.Hungary has maintained its reliance on Russian energy since the start of the 2022 conflict in Ukraine, prompting criticism from several European Union and Nato allies.Private reports also pointed to a weakening US labour market. US Labor Department employment reports are not being issued because of the government shutdown.Meanwhile, Opec+ decided on Sunday to increase output slightly in December. However, the group also paused further increases for the first quarter of next year, wary of a supply glut.GasAsian spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices were flat this week, as ample supplies and soft demand kept a lid on gains.The average LNG price for December delivery into northeast Asia held at $11.10 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), industry sources estimated.**media[378974]**Spot charter rates have continued to rise, which has been the primary driver behind a wider spread between Asian and European prices, with Asian prices having to hold a larger premium to continue attracting the same flows, analysts said.In Europe, the Dutch TTF price settled at $10.57 per mmBtu, recording a weekly gain of 1.0%. Gas inventories in Europe have remained around 83%, as gas demand is still weak due to weather conditions, but LNG imports have remained high.This article was supplied by the Abdullah bin Hamad Al-Attiyah International Foundation for Energy and Sustainable Development.