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Doha's hosting of the MWC25 conference marks a major milestone for the mobile communications sector and reflects Qatar's advanced position on the global technology landscape, said Jawad Abbasi, head of Middle East and North Africa at the GSMA.Speaking to Qatar News Agency (QNA) ahead of MWC Doha 2025, scheduled to take place on November 25-26, Abbasi noted that the MWC is the world's leading platform for interaction among all stakeholders in the communications ecosystem, including the private sector, governments, and international institutions. He emphasised that the event plays a critical role in strengthening the sustainability of the communications sector, which he described as the cornerstone of the digital economy and modern economic development.Abbasi added that the GSMA, which organises the event, serves as the global umbrella for mobile network operators as well as technology providers and companies operating in this vital sector. He explained that mobile communications have become the primary channel of digital connectivity for billions of people worldwide, with mobile phones now serving as the main gateway to the internet for a significant portion of the global population. This reality, he noted, places on the Association a substantial responsibility to help bridge gaps in coverage and usage, ensuring comprehensive and equitable access to digital services for all communities.Abbasi stressed that Doha was chosen to host MWC25 — after being held in several major global cities — based on a number of strategic considerations. Foremost among these is Qatar's leadership in adopting advanced technologies, including 5G, fibre-optic networks, and next-generation digital solutions, as well as the country's exceptionally high access rates to these technologies. He added that Qatari telecommunications operators rely on cutting-edge digital systems that position Qatar at the forefront of innovation in the region.He highlighted that Qatar's advanced infrastructure — particularly its transport sector, including Hamad International Airport, an integrated metro network, and world-class conference facilities — combined with global connectivity through Qatar Airways, makes Doha an ideal destination for hosting major international conferences. Abbasi also revealed that MWC25 is expected to continue being held in Doha for years to come.He further emphasised the strategic importance of hosting MWC25 in the region, noting that global economic shifts increasingly point to the economic centre of gravity moving eastward. This gives the Gulf region — and Doha in particular — a unique advantage, making it an ideal global hub for major international events.He added that this dynamic reinforces Qatar's position as a regional centre of gravity for the digital economy and global technology conferences, which explains the GSMA's growing number of events in the region, including the M360 Mena conference, culminating in the establishment of MWC Doha as a permanent annual event.Abbasi said that MWC25 Doha will feature a diverse program, including a high-level ministerial agenda with the participation of governments, policymakers, and international organisations. This agenda will discuss optimal regulatory frameworks to ensure sustainable investment in telecommunications networks and support the sector’s long-term growth.He noted that the conference will focus on several key themes, including artificial intelligence and its applications across economic sectors, the deployment of 5G in industry, transportation, ports, and aviation, maximising the economic and social returns of digital investments, and exploring the future of 6G technologies.The conference will bring together around 300 exhibiting companies from around the world, offering an ideal platform for exchanging expertise and showcasing the latest technological innovations. Abbasi said the strong participation of global companies and institutions reflects rising international confidence in Doha's capabilities and its growing influence in the global technology landscape.He revealed that several agreements and memoranda of understanding will be signed during the conference, including a strategic agreement between the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology and the GSMA to establish a training centre for modern technologies in cooperation with GSMA Advanced. The centre aims to enhance knowledge transfer and capacity building in the Arab world and the Gulf region — an initiative described as a significant step toward supporting sustainable digital development.Regarding the expected timeline for 6G services, Abbasi said the technology remains in the research and development phase and is anticipated to be available to the general public between 2031 and 2032. He stressed that the current priority is to maximise the benefits of existing 5G technologies to ensure meaningful economic and social development outcomes. 

Qatar Airways has increased capacity to Kuala Lumpur, Lagos, Shanghai, and Singapore this winter season to meet the global demand on these routes. This increase in flight frequency is part of the airline's broader winter schedule enhancements, which have already introduced additional frequencies to more than 15 major destinations, including Cape Town, Dublin, London, Phuket, and Toronto.In a statement, the airline said that the growing demand for Qatar Airways' travel experience resulted in the airline offering nearly 3,000 additional flights this year. Starting 17 December 2025, Qatar Airways flights to Kuala Lumpur (KUL) will increase from 14 to 17 weekly flights. The additional services will offer seamless connections between Southeast Asia and Jeddah, London, and Paris through Doha.Effective 15 December 2025 until 28 March 2026, Qatar Airways' services to Lagos (LOS) will increase from 10 to 14 weekly. The increased frequency enhances connectivity between the Nigeria and Qatar Airways' extensive global network of over 170 destinations, facilitating smoother travel for both business and leisure passengers to Delhi, Guangzhou, and London. Effective 01 January to 28 March 2026, services will rise from 7 to 10 weekly flights to meet growing inbound and outbound demand from China. This frequency increase will further enhance connectivity between Asia and Qatar Airways' key destinations across Algiers, São Paulo, and Warsaw.From 12 January 2026, Qatar Airways will deploy the Airbus A380 on select flights to Singapore, offering enhanced capacity and an elevated premium experience. The airline's global connectivity is supported by its diverse fleet of aircraft that includes a mix of Boeing 777 and Airbus A350 equipped with ultra-high-speed Starlink on-board Wi-Fi. Qatar Airways is the first airline in the world to fully equip and operate over 100 widebody aircraft with Starlink, and the first carrier in the MENA region to offer the service. Passengers in both Premium and Economy cabins enjoy free, gate-to-gate Wi-Fi, with speeds of up to 500 Mbps per aircraft.

The State of Qatar participated in the Core Focus Group meeting within the Global Coalition Against ISIS, held in Abu Dhabi, with broad participation from international bodies concerned with combating terrorism.The State of Qatar was represented by HE Special Envoy of the Minister of Foreign Affairs Ambassador Faisal bin Abdullah Al Hanzab.His Excellency expressed appreciation for the efforts made to organize this meeting during his speech and affirmed the State of Qatar's full support for the work of the Core Focus Group in preventing the resurgence of ISIS in Syria and Iraq, through strengthening civil cooperation in combating terrorism, supporting rehabilitation and reintegration efforts, and countering the organization's financing, movements and propaganda.His Excellency reiterated the State of Qatar's firm commitment to the mission and objectives of the global coalition, and its support for all efforts to mobilize all necessary resources to enhance security and stability in both the sisterly Syrian Arab Republic and the sisterly Republic of Iraq

Market EyeMirroring the positive global trends due to strengthening optimism on the US rate cut in December, the Qatar Stock Exchange Sunday gained more than 45 points on the buying support of Gulf institutions. The telecom and banking counters witnessed higher than average demand as the 20-stock Qatar Index rose 0.43% to 10,653.13 points, recovering from an intraday low of 10,618 points.The local retail investors continued to be net buyers but with lesser vigour in the main market, whose year-to-date gains improved to 0.78%. The domestic institutions also continued to be net buyers but with lesser intensity in the main bourse, whose capitalisation added QR2.87bn or 0.45% to QR636.61bn, mainly on midcap segments.The foreign institutions were seen net profit takers in the main market, which saw as many as 801 exchange traded funds (sponsored by AlRayan Bank and Doha Bank) valued at QR1,839 trade across 13 deals. The foreign individuals turned bearish in the main bourse, whose trade turnover and volumes were on the decline.The Islamic index was seen gaining slower than the other indices of the main market, which saw no trading of treasury bills. The Arab individuals were seen net sellers in the main bourse, which saw no trading of sovereign bonds. The Total Return Index rose 0.43%, the All Share Index by 0.4% and the All Islamic Index by 0.36% in the main market.The telecom sector index shot up 2.11%, banks and financial services (0.64%) and industrials (0.15%); while transport declined 0.71%, consumer goods and services (0.35%), real estate (0.19%) and insurance (0.15%). As many as 17 stocks gained, while 34 declined and two were unchanged.Major gainers in the main market include Ooredoo, Doha Insurance, Lesha Bank, QNB, Qatar Islamic Bank and Industries Qatar. Nevertheless, more than 64% of the traded constituents were in the red with major losers being Widam Food, Dlala, Baladna, Qatar German Medical Devices, Mannai Corporation, Meeza, Gulf International Services, Estithmar Holding, Qatar General Insurance and Reinsurance, QLM, Vodafone Qatar, Gulf Warehousing and Nakilat.In the venture market, Techno Q saw its shares depreciate in value. The Gulf institutions turned net buyers to the tune of QR5.35mn compared with net sellers of QR1.75bn the previous day. However, the foreign funds turned net sellers to the extent of QR3.78mn against net buyers of QR1.45bn last Thursday.The Arab individuals were net sellers to the tune of QR6.43mn compared with net buyers of QR9.5mn on November 20. The foreign retail investors turned net profit takers to the extent of QR5.25mn against net buyers of QR1.86mn the previous day. The local retail investors’ net buying decreased substantially to QR4.88mn compared to QR143.08mn last Thursday.The domestic institutions’ net buying weakened significantly to QR4.4mn against QR142.35mn on November 20. The Gulf individual investors’ net buying eased perceptibly to QR0.84mn compared to QR1.39mn the previous day.The Arab funds had no major net exposure for the fifth straight session. The main market saw a 68% contraction in trade volumes to 95.79mn shares, 90% in value to QR258.82mn and 55% in deals to 14,730. In the venture market, a total of 0.03mn equities valued at QR0.06mn changed hands across six transactions.

S&P Global Ratings downgraded Bahrain for the first time since 2017 as the Gulf country’s fiscal position deteriorates and debt levels rise. The sovereign credit rating was cut one level further into junk to B from B+ on Friday, with S&P analysts citing the small island nation’s fiscal struggles along with elevated indebtedness as the main catalysts behind the downgrade.It now shares similar ratings to Egypt and Kenya. Bahrain’s outlook was changed to stable from negative. Its creditworthiness assessment by S&P is now on par with Moody’s Investors Service and one notch lower than Fitch Ratings. “Bahrain’s debt will continue to rise against the backdrop of softer oil market dynamics and still-wide fiscal deficits,” S&P analysts said. Bahrain, the smallest of the six-nation Gulf Co-operation Council economies, has been grappling with wide budget deficits.Fitch this year turned its outlook on the Gulf state’s debt to negative, citing elevated indebtedness levels. In 2018, Bahrain received a $10bn aid package from states including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Under the assistance plan, the country said it was committed to keeping spending under control and envisaged a balanced budget by 2022.S&P said it expects the Gulf Cooperation Council states “will continue extending political, economic, and financial support to Bahrain if needed.” The country’s also rushed to bond markets this year, raising billions of dollars as a drop in Brent crude prices weighs further on its economy. “Bahrain’s economy and budget remain susceptible to oil price volatility, despite hydrocarbons representing only 15% of GDP,” according to S&P.

The Qatar Stock Exchange (QSE) is facilitating "constructive dialogues" with the global institutional investors to better enhance investment appeal as it showcased listed companies in New York as part of measures to increase the visibility of the country's capital market in the international arena.In this regard, the QSE successfully concluded its New York roadshow, hosted at Bank of America in New York City this week, showcasing leading blue-chip listed companies to a high-profile audience of global institutional investors, resulting in more than 80 one-on-one meetings with major buy-side firms. "By collaborating with Bank of America, the QSE continues to facilitate constructive dialogue between listed companies and global market participants, supporting greater visibility for Qatar’s capital market across major financial centres," said its spokesman.The delegation highlighted the depth, resilience, and diversity of Qatar’s equity market, reinforcing the competitiveness of the nation’s publicly listed companies, which now stands at 53 with a combined market capitalisation of about QR634bn. The roadshow provided a platform for participating companies to showcase their performance, growth outlook, and market fundamentals. Over the course of the event, investors held a series of one-on-one and group meetings with Qatari corporates, reflecting strong international interest in Qatar’s capital market.The New York Roadshow forms part of QSE’s broader efforts to enhance international investor engagement in line with Qatar National Vision 2030 and the objectives of the Third Financial Sector Strategy, which emphasise deeper financial markets, stronger global connectivity, and diversified economic development.The event also underscored the close alignment between the QSE and its listed companies, demonstrating a shared commitment to transparency, effective engagement, and long-term market development.The Qatar Investment Authority (QIA), the country's sovereign wealth fund, had entered into a strategic partnership with Fiera Capital to launch the $200mn Fiera Qatar Equity Fund, a landmark initiative aimed at enhancing market liquidity, increasing the free float of Qatari equities, and attracting new institutional capital to the Qatari market.The collaboration with Fiera Capital marks another important milestone in expanding market participation and supporting the long-term growth of Qatar's financial ecosystem. QIA has been instrumental in strengthening Qatar’s capital markets through a series of targeted programmes, including the market making initiative, the securities lending and borrowing framework, and the active asset management initiative launched in 2024. These efforts have already delivered tangible results, including the $200mn Qatar-focused equity fund launched in partnership with Ashmore Group.Qatar’s financial markets continue to demonstrate strong and consistent performance, reflecting sustained growth driven by the resilience of the national economy and effective collaboration among key stakeholders of Qatar’s financial markets to advance market infrastructure and regulatory development. This momentum is supported by a combination of structural strengths, including market depth, a diversified investor base, strategic product innovation, enhanced liquidity, and evolving regulatory frameworks.

Qatar Development Bank (QDB) announced a major expansion of its support for entrepreneurs at the 11th edition of the Rowad Entrepreneurship Conference, unveiling new investment packages designed to attract global startups to Doha.Speaking at the conference’s opening ceremony, QDB CEO Abdulrahman bin Hesham al-Sowaidi said: “I am pleased to announce the doubling of investment packages: up to QR4mn for seed stage companies and up to QR20mn for growth stage companies. This programme serves as a bridge for outstanding startups worldwide to establish in Qatar and expand globally.”Al-Sowaidi emphasised that entrepreneurship in Qatar has evolved into a national endeavour, supported by the Third National Development Strategy (NDS3). He noted that the private sector’s role in venture capital “is expanding rapidly.”“Last year, private sector participation reached 57% of total venture capital investments. We continue our journey towards achieving the national target of 70% by 2030,” he explained.QDB’s investment arm now ranks fourth among the most active investors in the Middle East and North Africa, with direct and indirect investments exceeding “QR350mn.” The bank has also tripled the value of single co-investment deals to “QR11mn,” strengthening partnerships with local and international funds.Al-Sowaidi highlighted QDB’s partnerships with the Qatar Investment Authority’s (QIA) Fund of Funds programme, including the launch of the HealthTech Accelerator with Deerfield’s Cure programme, which connects Doha and New York. He also pointed to the creation of Qatar’s first venture building studio, The studio, in collaboration with Utopia Capital Management.Capacity building initiatives have also been central to QDB’s strategy. More than 220 angel investors have been accredited through a programme with the Qatar Finance and Business Academy, paving the way for deeper engagement in venture capital across the region.“Aligned with Qatar’s ambition to be a launchpad rather than just a destination, we introduced the Startup Qatar Investment Programme. In just two years, it has supported more than 35 companies with investments exceeding QR130mn,” al-Sowaidi said.Al-Sowaidi stressed that digitalisation is now essential for competitiveness. QDB has rolled out a Digital Transformation programme, introduced the Smart Industry Readiness Index (SIRI) for self-assessment, and provided grants and financing to support companies in adopting advanced technologies.He cited figures from the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) showing that 81% of early-stage entrepreneurs in Qatar rely on modern technology, evidence of the ecosystem’s ability to keep pace with global trends. QDB has also launched the Talent Community Programme, benefitting more than 50 entrepreneurs across 30 local and international companies, al-Sowaidi pointed out.He said this year’s Rowad conference gathered more than 120 local and international companies, 15 panel discussions, 45 workshops, and 28 startups competing to showcase their projects.“We stand at a moment where entrepreneurship moves from the margins to the centre of the economic system. The private sector is playing an increasingly vital role in driving development,” emphasised al-Sowaidi, who urged entrepreneurs and investors to seize the opportunity for dialogue, knowledge exchange, and deep partnerships.

Some of the year’s most popular emerging-market trades such as betting on the Brazilian real and stocks linked to artificial intelligence are becoming a source of concern as money managers warn of risks from overcrowding.Wells Fargo Securities sees valuations for Latin American currencies — among 2025’s top carry trade performers — as detached from fundamentals. Fidelity International is concerned about less liquid markets in Africa that it sees at risk should global volatility spike. Lazard Asset Management meanwhile is keeping its guard up after early November’s firesale in Asian tech stocks — the worst since April.“Investors are too complacent on emerging markets,” said Brendan McKenna, an emerging-market economist and FX strategist at Wells Fargo in New York. “FX valuations, for most if not all, are stretched and not capturing a lot of the risks hovering over markets. They can continue to perform well in the near-term, but I do feel a correction will be unavoidable.”Such caution isn’t without reason. Many parts of the developing-markets universe look overheated after a heady cocktail of Federal Reserve rate cuts, a softer dollar and an AI boom drove stellar gains. The very flows that propelled the rally are now posing the risk of sudden drawdowns that have the potential to ripple through global sentiment and tighten liquidity across asset classes.A quarterly HSBC Holdings Plc survey of 100 investors representing a total $423bn of developing-nation assets showed in September that 61% of them had a net overweight position in local-currency EM bonds, up from minus 15% in June. A Bloomberg gauge of the debt is on track for its best returns in six years.The MSCI Emerging Markets Index of stocks has risen each month this year through October — the longest run in over two decades. Up almost 30%, the gauge is headed for its best annual gain since 2017, when it rallied 34%. That was followed by a 17% slump in 2018 when a more hawkish than expected Fed, a US-China trade war and a surging dollar took the wind out of overcrowded EM stocks as well as popular carry — in which traders borrow in lower-yielding currencies to buy those that offer higher yields — and local-bond trades.“As we approach year-end, there is a risk that some investors look to take profits on what has been a successful trade in 2025 and that this leads to a rise in volatility in FX markets,” Anthony Kettle, senior portfolio manager at RBC BlueBay Asset Management in London, said in reference to local-currency bonds.Stock traders in Asia this month had a first-hand experience of the risks that come with extreme valuations and crowding, when the region’s high-flying AI shares took a sudden nosedive. While tech stocks sold off globally, analysts have cautioned that the risk in some Asian markets are even more pronounced given the sector’s relatively higher weighting in their indexes.One notable example is South Korea’s Kospi — the world’s top-performing major equity benchmark in 2025, with an almost 70% jump. As volatility spiked, the gauge plunged more than 6% in one session before paring half of the losses by the close. “Positioning in Korea’s AI-memory trade is extremely tight,” said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Markets in Singapore.Rohit Chopra, an emerging-market equity portfolio manager at Lazard Asset Management in New York, has turned cautious after the tech rout.“From a factor perspective, lower-quality companies have been outperforming higher-quality peers,” he said. “Historically, this divergence has not been sustained, suggesting the potential for a reversal if positioning remains concentrated.”Chopra co-manages the Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio, which has returned 23% over the past three years, beating 95% of peers, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.Options traders appear to be turning bearish on the Brazilian real, which has delivered carry trade returns of around 30% this year. Three-month risk reversals rose to a four-year high earlier this month.The real is the best example of an asset that has had a good run this year and where positioning has now become crowded, said Alvaro Vivanco, head of strategy at TJM FX. There are renewed fiscal concerns for Brazil, which is another reason to be more cautious, he said.Other Latin American currencies such as Chile’s, Mexico’s and Colombia’s are also “looking a little rich,” said Wells Fargo’s McKenna.The trade-weighted value of the Colombian peso is at the highest in seven years, according to data from the Bank of International Settlements, and is one standard deviation above the 10-year average. The same gauge for the Mexican peso is 1.4 standard deviations above the average.Bonds in some frontier markets also emerged as beneficiaries when a broader investor shift away from US assets gathered pace this year. Asset managers such as Fidelity International are now sounding caution on them.“More concerning to me are trades where a sudden rush for an exit can overwhelm the natural buyer base,” said Philip Fielding, a portfolio manager for Fidelity. Markets such as Egypt, the Ivory Coast or Ghana “can also be illiquid in times of higher volatility,” he added.Fielding is the lead manager for the $538mn Fidelity Emerging Market Debt Fund that has returned about 12% in the past three years, beating 84% of peers, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

QatarEnergy has signed a production sharing agreement for shallow-water Block S4 offshore the Cooperative Republic of Guyana. The block was awarded through the 2022 Guyana Licensing Round.Under the terms of the agreement, QatarEnergy will hold a 35% share, while its partners TotalEnergies (the operator) will hold 40%, and Petronas will hold 25%. Commenting on this agreement, His Excellency the Minister of State for Energy Affairs, Saad bin Sherida al-Kaabi, who is also the President and CEO of QatarEnergy, said: “We are pleased to secure this exploration block in Guyana, further building on the strategy to expand our global upstream exploration activities.” He added: “I would like to thank the Government of the Co-operative Republic of Guyana and our partners in the block for their valued support and co-operation.We look forward to working together to deliver on our exploration objectives.” Block S4 covers an area of 1,788sq km and is situated approximately 50-100km from Guyana’s coast, in water depths of 30-100m.

QNB expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to 'moderately' continue with its easing cycle, cutting the Fed funds rate twice more to 3.5%. Below trend labour and capacity utilisation justify continued policy rate cuts, while limited downside potential places the adequate floor to rates around neutral levels, QNB said in an economic commentary. The Fed is once again at the forefront of the global macro agenda, after a period dominated by US-driven trade negotiations, fiscal debates and geopolitical conflict. Economic policy uncertainty has been reduced significantly on the back of a plethora of trade deals and a less contentious fiscal framework from the Trump administration. Importantly, inflation uncertainty has also been reduced as prices are proving to be less responsive to higher tariffs than previously expected. However, despite the significant stabilisation of the overall policy environment, monetary policy is becoming a more contested space. While the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Fed decided for another 25 basis points (bps) rate cut late last month, continuing with the easing cycle that started in September 2024 and resumed this September after eight months of pause, there is clearly significant dissent amongst FOMC Board members. In fact, during the last FOMC meeting, Fed Governor Stephen Miran dissented in favour of a larger 50 bps cut, whereas Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid dissented in favour of no reductions at all. This “two-sided” dissent is a very rare occurrence in a historically more consensus-prone Fed. Moreover, there seems to also be widening differences in conviction about the timing and even direction of Fed fund rates between markets and policymakers going forward. Investors are currently expecting the Fed to continue with the rate cutting cycle that started in September 2024, with one more 25 bps cut “priced in” for December 2025 and three further rate cuts throughout 2026, for a cyclical terminal rate of around 3%. But Jerome Powell, the Fed’s chairman, is less certain about this outcome, stating recently that further policy rate cuts are far from a foregone conclusion. In QNB’s view, there is space for two more 25 bps rate cuts, likely in December and again in early 2026. Hence, it believes that both the “hawkish” central bankers that want to pause again the monetary easing cycle and their “dovish” colleagues that advocate for much deeper rate cuts are likely too aggressive in their positions. Similarly, prevailing market expectations are likely too optimistic in their assessment about four further cuts to a 2026 end-year rate of 3%. Two main points sustain our view **media[382145]** First, we believe that there is still more room for a couple more rate cuts because current policy rates are still too tight vis-à-vis existing macro conditions in the US. At 4%, policy rates are restrictive or around 50 bps above what we consider to be the neutral rate, i.e., the level at which rates are neither supportive nor restrictive for activity. US capacity utilisation, measured in terms of the state of the labour market as well as the level of industrial activity, indicates that the US economy is set to run below potential. In H2-2025, for the first time in more than four years, the “jobs gap” is suggesting that the labour market is loose rather than tight, i.e., the sum of job openings and employment is lower than the total civilian labour force. This is because new job openings have been reduced significantly from more than 12mn new posts per month in early 2022 to around seven million in recent months. Importantly, coincident labour data from private sources are indicating an accelerating trend of US layoffs. US based employers cut more than 150 thousand jobs in October, marking the biggest reduction for the month in more than two decades, as companies are seeking to reduce costs, mitigate tariff-related margin pressures and increase efficiency with AI adoption. Moreover, industrial activity is running below its long-term trend. These conditions, that together inform QNB’s US capacity utilisation index, point to below potential growth and support additional rate cuts to neutral levels over the coming quarters, i.e., policy rates that are at the estimated neutral threshold of around 3.5%. Second, while there is room for additional policy easing, the further deeper cuts supported by the “dovish” members of the Fed and expected by markets seem to be too aggressive. The US economy adjusted significantly and slowed down from close to 3% growth in both 2023 and 2024 to around 2% growth this year. But there is little evidence of an incoming sharper downturn or deterioration, not to mention any potential recession. Investments have been strong on the back of record capex from tech companies seeking to lead the AI wave, whereas consumption has been slowing only gradually as US households still benefit from their strongest net financial position in decades. In other words, in the absence of new negative shocks, further downside pressure for US growth is limited. Hence, there appear to be no justification to reduce the policy rate further from neutral down to accommodative levels, QNB said.

It’s a great time to be an oil refiner — but a less great time to be filling up at the pump.In Europe, the US and Asia, giant plants are making money by doing what they’ve always done: converting crude oil into vital fuels and selling them at a profit.What’s different today is the scale of the threat to global supplies: Relentless attacks on Russia’s energy infrastructure, outages at key plants in Asia and Africa and permanent closures across Europe and the US have removed millions of barrels of diesel and gasoline from the world market.On top of these real-world impacts are traders’ fears of what’s yet to come: imminent US sanctions on Lukoil PJSC and Rosneft PJSC and fresh European Union curbs on fuels made from Russian crude threaten already squeezed supply-chains.The result is ongoing pressure on costs at the pump despite a fall in global oil prices — something that’s unlikely to sit well with a US administration that sees “affordable energy” as essential.“Global refinery margins are astronomical,” said Eugene Lindell, head of refined products at consultancy FGE NexantECA. “The signal you’re giving the global refining system, no matter where the refinery is located, is to just run flat out.”In the US, Europe and Asia, margins are the highest they’ve been at this time of year since at least 2018, according to fair value data compiled by Bloomberg. The profits are so good that refiners’ stock prices are also surging: Processors including Valero Energy Corp and Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS have seen stellar rises, while Orlen SA gained more than 100% year-to-date.While expectations of a glut are dragging on crude prices, disruption to the global refining system is limiting how much oil can be turned into products like gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. While that benefits the processors still running, it also means the slump in headline oil prices isn’t being felt at the pump.A constant stream of attacks on Russia’s refineries — just this month, Ukraine claimed strikes on the Saratov, Orsk and Volgograd plants — is hampering fuel production. Last month, Russia’s huge oil product exports were on course to hit a multi-year low, and that was before drone attacks damaged key loading facilities in the port city of Tuapse.Product supplies are being further squeezed by outages elsewhere. In Kuwait, the giant 615,000 barrel-a-day Al-Zour refinery recently had only one of its three crude processing units operating, while a key gasoline-production unit at Nigeria’s huge Dangote refinery is reportedly scheduled to halt for about 50 days of maintenance in coming weeks, having only recently begun restarting.Meanwhile, US crude runs in recent weeks have been more than a million barrels a day lower than the same time last year, a huge drop from the peak summer demand months, when processing was at its highest seasonal level since 2019. The country has seen multiple refinery closures in recent years, as has western Europe, further pressuring fuel supplies.“Global refining activity has been challenged by a series of unplanned outages in October, further constraining product markets and pushing margins even higher,” the International Energy Agency said Thursday. Increased profits have prompted the watchdog to raise its estimates for runs at margin-sensitive refining assets in Europe and Asia this month and next.In the US, the upshot is a rise in the average price of diesel since President Trump took office, and little change in the cost of gasoline, which on Thursday stood at $3.08 a gallon. Benchmark crude futures have meanwhile come off about 20% since his second inauguration, amid forecasts of a large surplus.Supercharging these ongoing real-world supply pressures are traders’ fears over what’s on the horizon.“The current strength in refining margins is at least partially being driven by uncertainty around the upcoming US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, as well as the EU’s January prohibitions on Russian products,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group.FGE’s Lindell estimates Lukoil and Rosneft’s combined Russia oil product exports are more than 800,000 barrels a day. The global seaborne trade in oil products is about 22mn barrels a day, according to Clarkson Research Services Ltd., a unit of the world’s largest shipbroker.Any major disruption to those exports would be a shock to the global fuels market, though the extent to which those barrels would really disappear is unclear. Russia has shown that it often manages to work around sanctions.There are also questions about what comes next for refineries outside Russia in which Lukoil is involved, including Bulgaria’s Burgas facility, the Netherlands’ Zeeland plant and Romania’s Petrotel.Then there are the EU restrictions, coming into force January 21, which restrict the delivery of petroleum products made from Russian crude into the bloc. Precisely how these will end up impacting Europe’s diesel supplies from India and Turkey — both of which have also been key importers of Russian crude — remains to be seen.“The sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil, on top of the recent sanctions package out of the EU, tightened the noose around Russia’s neck,” said Carolyn Kissane, an associate dean at the Center for Global Affairs at New York University, where she teaches about energy and climate change. “At the same time, you’re seeing more attacks driven by Ukraine against Russian infrastructure, which is a hit to the products market.”

The Diplomatic Institute of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has participated in the International Diplomatic Training Forum (IFDT), organized by the Peruvian Diplomatic Academy from Nov 11 to 14 in Cusco, Peru. More than 50 diplomatic academies and institutes from around the world participated.The Diplomatic Institute was represented at the forum by His Excellency Director of the Institute Dr Abdulaziz bin Mohammed al-Horr. In his address to the forum, HE al-Horr emphasized that the global diplomatic environment is undergoing rapid transformation, necessitating the adoption of innovative training methods that transcend traditional models. He noted that contemporary diplomats require new skills, including flexibility, emotional intelligence, networking, and the ability to address transnational challenges. The forum also witnessed the official announcement of Qatar, represented by the Diplomatic Institute, being selected to host the 52nd annual meeting of the International Diplomatic Training Forum (IFDT) next year.