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The dollar posted its first weekly gain since early January, buoyed by haven demand amid broader market turmoil.The dollar closed 0.2% higher for the week, even after paring gains on Friday. The advance halted a three-week drop fuelled by speculation that the Trump administration’s policy shifts would spur foreign investors to dial back exposure to US assets.The reversal came as the stock market was whipsawed by volatility, Bitcoin tumbled and what had been a steep run-up in gold and silver prices abruptly reversed, all of which drove investors into the safety of US Treasuries. At the same time, analysts said investors started to take profits from widespread bets on the currency’s fall after bearish sentiment hit extreme levels late last month.“The market was heavily short USD as recently as last week, so there is likely a whiff of short-term profit taking here,” said Bipan Rai of BMO Asset Management. “That profit taking has been buttressed by decent US sentiment.”Data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Friday showed speculative traders boosted their bets against the dollar to $17.4bn, the most since July. The data shows activity in the week through February 3.The week’s gains for the greenback were driven largely by an advance against the yen ahead of Sunday’s national election in Japan. Polls there show Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party is expected to secure a big win. Hedge funds have increased bets against the yen, anticipating that a decisive mandate for Takaichi would allow her to enact fiscal-stimulus plans that could push up inflation.“The dollar firmed this week, largely reflecting yen weakness,” said Elias Haddad, global head of markets strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman. “Takaichi’s expansive fiscal agenda is an ongoing drag for the yen as polls suggest her coalition is headed for a landslide victory.”The dollar’s advance came even as layoff and jobless-claims data this week pointed to further cooling in the labour market, which bolstered speculation that the Federal Reserve will resume cutting interest rates later this year. Such reductions would likely act as a drag on the dollar by giving investors incentive to shift money to countries where rates are higher.January jobs data delayed by the partial US government shutdown will be released next week. Traders also see the dollar’s recent upswing as unlikely to last: A key options gauge on the Bloomberg dollar index remains in negative territory, a sign it’s expected to depreciate over the coming month. 

Turkish stocks are poised for their best January in 29 years as the wave of optimism around emerging markets and cheap valuations lure foreign investors back into the market. The Borsa Istanbul 100 Index has climbed 19% so far in January in dollar terms, its best performance since 1997. Even after the rally, the shares trade at a steep valuation discount to other emerging-market stocks on a price-to-estimated earnings basis. Last year, Turkish assets were kept on the sidelines of a long-awaited rebound in emerging markets. The country’s stock market is now closing the gap, buoyed by a weaker dollar and a push by investors to diversify away from US assets. “Amid strong appetite for emerging markets, Turkish stocks are playing catch-up,” said Batuhan Ozsahin, chief executive officer at Ata Portfoy Yonetimi. “The dollar debasement trade is still continuing, and with force.” The country’s shares attracted $1.36bn of inflows from foreign investors since the start of December through January 16, according to the central bank data. The BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust Plc counts Turkish stocks among its biggest holdings, moving to almost 10% from near-zero exposure a year ago. One of the biggest contributor’s to the index’s advance was state-run defence contractor Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS, which rose 34%. Other top gainers included Kiler Holding AS and oil refiner Tupras which climbed 67% and 32%, respectively. Burak Demircioglu, a director at Istanbul-based Yatirim Finansman, expects the rally to broaden in the months ahead. “There are still many laggards that could extend the gains on the gauge,” he said. Lower interest rates are another factor that supports the demand for Turkish shares. The country’s central bank cut its policy rate for the fifth straight month last week. “We’re in an easing cycle overall, and nearing critical levels for interest rates, where further rate cuts could at least start denting the appeal of alternative investments,” Demircioglu said. In the days ahead, traders will be keeping a close eye on company earnings reports for clues on whether the rally can extend. “Fourth-quarter earnings and 2026 outlooks will play an important role in setting the tone,” said Tunc Yildirim, managing director of Unlu Securities. 

Saudi Arabia plans to open its financial markets ‌to all foreign investors from February 1, ‌the Gulf country's market regulator ‍said Tuesday, as it eases rules to attract more money from ⁠abroad.The amendments approved by ⁠the Capital Markets Authority eliminate the concept of the Qualified Foreign ‍Investor, scrapping a rule that allowed only international investors with direct and consistent access to the Saudi capital market.The move will allow investors from around the world to invest directly in the capital market, the CMA said in a statement, adding it would support inflows and ‌improve market liquidity.Saudi Arabia, which is more than halfway through an economic plan to reduce its dependence on oil, has been trying to ‍attract foreign investors, including by ⁠establishing exchange-traded funds ‌with Asian partners in Japan and Hong Kong.Regulators last year also opened the door for foreigners to buy listed firms that own real estate in Makkah and Medinah, without changing restrictions on direct land ownership.JP Morgan said it expected the impact of Tuesday's move to be limited as "nearly all" institutional investors by assets under management were already allowed to invest in the market."As a reminder, the key regulatory change that ​investors are expecting is the ‌change to the foreign ownership limits, which should have some positive impact on the ⁠market," JPM said ‍in a note, adding that it did not expect that change to happen before the second half of the year or later.Saudi stocks jumped in September following a report that the CMA might ease a 49% cap on foreign ownership of ​listed firms, in a move that could help revive interest in the Arab world's biggest stock exchange.The Saudi benchmark index fell 12.8% last year and is down 1.9% so far this year, according to LSEG data.International investors held 590bn riyals ($157bn) in the Saudi capital market at the end of the third quarter last year, the CMA said. 

Saudi Arabia’s battered stock market is looking increasingly attractive to foreign investors because of rock-bottom valuations and bets that the oil price won’t drop much further.Investors from beyond the Arabian Gulf accounted for 41% of total Saudi equities buying in the week ended August 28, one of the highest ratios on record, according to Saudi stock exchange data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence.The flows signal that a rush of reforms making it easier for foreigners to buy Saudi stocks is working. For the time being, however, risks still have the upper hand with the Tadawul All Share Index down 11% year to date and domestic investors on the retreat, along with crude prices.Nishit Lakhotia, head of research at SICO Bank, said stock investors are currently pricing in a “worse-case scenario” for the Saudi market, which he expects to bottom out shortly, unless oil drops below $60 a barrel — which would amount to a roughly 10% drop from current levels.“We believe the momentum is still there in the economy, which does not warrant such depressed valuations,” he said. “While it’s hard to predict when exactly the market can turn, there will likely be a point — sooner than later — when smart investors will start buying.”The slump has made Saudi stocks look relatively attractive, with the benchmark index near the lowest price-to-earnings multiple in more than five years. Junaid Ansari, director of investment strategy and research at Kamco Investment Co, expects a sharp turnaround in sentiment from the fourth quarter, when investors start making allocations for 2026.“The Saudi market is an oversold market,” said Ansari. While foreigners have largely been net buyers, “the sellers are mainly institutions in Saudi Arabia which we believe are selling to focus on other investment opportunities in the Kingdom,” he said.Nevertheless, the weak oil market is weighing down Saudi assets. Brent crude is trading around $66 per barrel, well below the nation’s fiscal breakeven price of $94, according to Bloomberg Economics. If domestic investments by the kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund are included, the figure rises to $111.While foreigners accounted for about 35% of all Saudi stock purchases in August, continuing a strong trend, daily turnover on the market has dropped to the lowest level since 2023. This means that international investors are grabbing a bigger slice of a smaller pie.Still, the gloom over the kingdom’s stocks may be over-hyped, especially as a negative perception of earnings is in large part based on giants, such as Saudi Arabian Oil Company and Saudi Basic Industries Corp.Excluding Aramco and Sabic, Saudi stocks are showing roughly 7% profit growth, Kamco’s Ansari said. Even as the Tadawul index has declined, owners of Saudi National Bank and Saudi Telecom Co shares have seen 11% and 13% returns, respectively, so far this year.“Although earnings growth for 2025 and 2026 is among the lowest across emerging markets, valuations have become more attractive,” said Nenad Dinic, an emerging-markets equity strategist at Bank Julius Baer & Co Ltd.