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Alphabet is taking on OpenAI with a gusto that underscores Wall Street's perception that the Google ‌parent is the leader in AI, a turn of events from a year ago when investors thought it ‌was badly lagging behind rivals and punished its ‍stock. Alphabet executives struck a more confident tone on the company's post-earnings call on Wednesday, the first since it released the Gemini 3 model, which has wowed users and ⁠helped Google catch up in the artificial intelligence race.Though it ⁠did not mention its chief AI rival by name, Alphabet's newly confident messaging emphasized a key contrast: Investments in AI have begun ‍to reap returns throughout the entire company. That served as Alphabet's justification to potentially double its capital expenditures in 2026 — to between $175bn and $185bn — as a result of massive investments into AI computing capacity.Alphabet's prepared remarks about AI in 2025 had focused on product usage and AI revenues generated specifically via its cloud-computing unit."Overall, we’re seeing our AI investments and infrastructure drive revenue and growth across the board," CEO Sundar Pichai said.Google's fresh conviction about AI-fueled revenue is backed by growth in both its consumer and enterprise businesses.Pichai said the Google Gemini app, which competes with OpenAI's ChatGPT, exceeded 750mn monthly active users at the end ‌of the December quarter, up from 650mn at the end of the prior period. That still trails ChatGPT, which OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said in October had eclipsed 800mn weekly active users."We are also seeing significantly higher engagement per user, especially since the launch of Gemini 3," ‍Pichai said.Gemini 3 has also been integrated ⁠into "AI Mode" in Google's search engine ‌and powers Google's enterprise version of Gemini, which Pichai said on the call had reached 8mn paying licenses.Google's surging capex forecast initially alarmed investors, sending the stock down by as much as 6% in after-hours trading. But a strong showing from its cloud unit — revenue was up 48% in the December quarter — and an AI-powered boost across the rest of its business quickly reinforced Wall Street's confidence that Google's AI bets are beginning to pay off.That further validated Wall Street's current message to tech companies: Soaring AI spending can continue only if tech companies demonstrate commensurate financial returns.On Thursday, the stock was down 3% in premarket trading. It rose 65% last year and has gained 6% so far in 2026.Since the start of last year, Alphabet has gone from laggard to leader among the "Magnificent Seven" megacap companies and is now matched by only Nvidia and Apple among companies with market capitalizations of more than $4tn.Despite taking a comparably modest tone on capital ​spending for the year, Microsoft's shares took a massive ‌beating last week, due in part to heightened concerns about its reliance on OpenAI. The company said its fiscal third-quarter spending would decrease from the record $37.5bn it shelled out in the October-to-December ⁠period.With OpenAI striking a string of multi-billion-dollar deals despite still ‍losing money, investors have grown concerned about the company's ability to finance those commitments, souring sentiment around major tech firms with which it has close links.Paul Meeks, head of tech research at Freedom Capital Markets, said Alphabet was benefiting from a contrast in sentiment, despite a capex forecast that was "eye-watering.""I do think there's a narrative emerging here where the market is favoring Google versus OpenAI," Meeks said. "This time last year, every announcement by OpenAI to do business with somebody was applauded. But then in late 2025, now people are saying, 'Oh my god, too ​much of my revenue backlog or AI infra spending is coming from OpenAI.'"Shares of Oracle, whose contract backlog of more than $500 bn hinges largely on OpenAI, are down about 49% since the start of October. Microsoft, which holds a 27% stake in OpenAI and counts it as a massive customer, has slid more than 20% over the same period.Meanwhile, Alphabet has jumped about 36%. 

Alphabet Inc shares are suddenly unshackled after a long-awaited antitrust ruling removed a key risk that’s weighed on the stock for months.The decision by a US district court judge on Tuesday enabled Google’s parent to avoid the most punitive measures sought by regulators, including the sale of its Chrome browser. That sent the stock up nearly 11% over the past three days, including Friday’s 0.7% advance. The climb has put it within striking distance of a $3tn market value. With the case now out of the way, investors are turning their attention back to the potential for gains in Alphabet’s stock, which is the cheapest among the Magnificent Seven despite the recent rally.“What it does is it clears the runway for additional growth opportunities,” said Neville Javeri, senior fund manager at Allspring Global Investments, referring to the ruling. He sees an “incredible opportunity” in the stock as the decision “sets them up for a growth opportunity that might have been taken away.”The ruling caps a strong stretch for Alphabet shares that began after its second-quarter earnings showed demand for artificial intelligence products is lifting sales. At the same time, its AI offerings continue to boost investor confidence in Alphabet’s ability to fend off competition from rivals like OpenAI.The stock has gained more than 20% since the July 23 earnings report, vaulting Alphabet into the top third of performers in the Nasdaq 100 Index this year, after months of struggles amid concerns about antitrust risks and fears that AI upstarts could eat away at its Google search business, which accounts for more than half of revenue. As recently as June, Alphabet shares were down more than 10% while the Nasdaq 100 was in positive territory.Though the debate over AI is unlikely to be settled anytime soon, Wall Street is increasingly confident Alphabet can defend its turf. It debuted AI functions that were widely praised earlier this year, and the latest version of its Pixel phones, which come loaded with AI features, were also well received. Sales of handsets from both Alphabet and Samsung Electronics indicate consumers are willing to switch to devices that use Google’s Android operating system.“Given new AI Search features and GOOG’s rapidly scaling Gemini app, we expect Google will maintain its leadership in traditional search,” TD Cowen analyst John Blackledge wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday.With a market capitalisation of $2.83tn, Alphabet is roughly 6% shy of the $3tn mark, a level that’s only been reached by Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, and Nvidia Corp.Closing that gap may not be much of a stretch. Alphabet trades around 21 times estimated earnings, compared with 26 times for the Nasdaq 100, and its revenues are expected to grow 14% this year, outpacing the benchmark.“The stock still looks attractive, since it has so many high-quality businesses growing at fast rates,” said Liam McGarrity, US investment analyst at Harris Oakmark, which has Alphabet as its largest holding.Despite the improving sentiment, Alphabet’s momentum could be difficult to sustain in the near term. The stock’s 14-day relative strength index jumped above 84, its highest since 2017 and well above 70, the level where technical traders consider a security overbought. The shares are trading slightly above with average analyst price target, suggesting Wall Street doesn’t see much upside from here.Investors “understandably are relieved that near-term risks are dissipated,” but “long-term concerns about competitive risks to search will constrain the multiple,” Rosenblatt Securities analyst Barton Crockett wrote in a note to clients Wednesday, reiterating his neutral rating on the stock.For McGarrity, owning Alphabet comes down to believing in its ability to stay ahead of AI rivals and maintain growth.“When you consider it is cheaper than the market even though it has industry-leading AI and significant potential in businesses like Google Cloud and Waymo, then it seems like it is trading at a significant discount,” he said.