tag

Investors will look in the coming week for signals about profitability for artificial intelligence companies, as well as the broader economy's health, to steady the US equity market.Stocks rebounded this week from their biggest pullback since April, helped by a firming conviction that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. But some of the market's heavyweight shares remained volatile. Big moves in Nvidia and Alphabet, for instance, were driven by developments in AI.Equities are poised to maintain this sensitivity, investors said, after concerns about overheated valuations took some of the steam out of a trade that has propelled markets higher this year."The narrative surrounding the profitability of AI is coming under question," said Matthew Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. "If that becomes a bigger issue as we move through December, that's going to be a big problem for the market."The benchmark S&P 500 is up about 16% in 2025, heading into a year-end period that tends to be strong. December ranks as the index's third-best-performing month, with a 1.43% average gain since 1950, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. However, investors are wary of signs of waning risk appetite. Among them is the slide in bitcoin, which in recent days has dropped below $90,000 from over $125,000 in early October."Bitcoin serves as a risk proxy for equities, so we'll be monitoring it closely," said King Lip, chief strategist at BakerAvenue Wealth Management.With the rebound, the S&P 500 on Wednesday was 1% off its late-October all-time high, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 3% from its late-October peak. Technology stocks have weighed on indexes as questions emerge about the timing of returns on massive spending investments in AI infrastructure. Wall Street was also watching fallout from a rush of debt issuance by major tech companies to fund their AI expansions."Investors are starting to rethink how quickly some of this... is going to have an impact on bottom lines," said Paul Nolte, senior wealth adviser and market strategist at Murphy & Sylvest Wealth Management. Investors' spotlight this week fell particularly on Alphabet, which had been seen as an AI laggard but whose shares have soared in recent months, pushing its market value up to around $4tn. The Google parent has won strong early reviews for its new Gemini 3 AI model. A report this week that Meta Platforms was in talks to spend billions of dollars on Google's chips rattled shares of semiconductor giant Nvidia, which has been the darling of the AI trade.Economic releases in the coming week cover manufacturing and services activity, and consumer sentiment. Earnings reports are also due from cloud software provider Salesforce and retailers including Kroger and Dollar Tree as a generally strong third-quarter reporting season for US companies comes to a close.Investors will be eager for any clues about the economic backdrop from those reports, as well as from early indications about holiday consumer spending following Black Friday and Cyber Monday retail sales events.Many of the data releases that investors rely on to gauge the economy's health have been delayed or cancelled due to the 43-day US government shutdown that ended this month.It may not be until releases arrive in January that investors get a more complete view of the economy, said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial."Investors are going to have to deal with this fog... through year-end," Saglimbene said. Despite the cloudy economic picture, traders have increased bets the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its December 9-10 meeting following comments from several central bank officials indicating willingness to ease policy.Fed funds futures late on Wednesday reflected over 80% odds that the central bank will cut by another quarter percentage point at the meeting, according to CME FedWatch, after such odds showed roughly a coin flip last week.Prospects of more monetary easing could benefit broader parts of the market beyond the tech and AI stocks that have dominated this year. For example, rate-sensitive shares of smaller companies have outperformed in recent days."What I'm watching is through year-end if we do see the Fed cut rates, can we see more positive momentum in other areas outside of technology?" Saglimbene said. 

Qatar National Library (QNL) hosted the "Equity for All" campaign to raise awareness about inclusivity and the challenges faced by people with disabilities.The campaign emphasized the importance of building an inclusive society during a thought-provoking discussion, followed by an accessibility fair designed to engage and empower participants, encouraging them to contribute fully to society."We are proud to support this initiative, which not only sheds light on the experiences of people with disabilities but also champions the values of equity, accessibility, and inclusivity," said Information Services Librarian at Qatar National Library Hanan Zaidan‏.She added, "These principles are essential to the growth of a thriving society and align with our mission to promote lifelong learning and personal development." The event featured Ahmed Al Shahrani, a Guinness World Record holder for the fastest wheelchair crossing of Qatar.The event provided QNL with an opportunity to reaffirm its commitment to creating a space where every individual, regardless of background or ability, feels valued, respected, and empowered to contribute to society.

China’s stock rally is set to get a boost from small investors, stoking hopes that their massive savings will fuel the next leg of the market’s blistering advance.The benchmark CSI 300 Index has been on a tear, rising 10% in August to be one of the world’s best performing equity gauges amid a liquidity driven surge. While hedge funds have been active in the market, analysts say the nation’s mom and pop investors are still in the early stages of what could be a major rotation into stocks and equity funds.China’s household deposits fell 0.7% from a record high in June to 160.9tn yuan ($23tn) in July, suggesting investors are putting their money to work. JPMorgan Chase & Co predicts around $350bn of additional savings could flow into the equity market between July 2025 and the end of next year, propelling share prices more than 20% higher.“Cash makes bull markets, and deposits shifting to stocks is going to be an important driver of this rally,” said Xu Dawei, a fund manager at Jintong Private Fund Management in Beijing. “It’s already begun and there’s no turning back.” The glut of savings is one factor pushing Wall Street banks to hike price targets for China’s major stock gauges and fuelling hopes that China’s rally which has so far defied lacklustre earnings and persistent questions about the health of the economy has further to go.Goldman Sachs Group Inc strategists pointed to excess household savings when upgrading their target for the CSI 300, with the bank now predicting a roughly 10% rise over the next 12 months. HSBC Holdings Plc cited the savings pool as potentially a “very positive catalyst” when lifting its targets for the country’s two biggest indexes.Darwin Mao, a 28-year-old tech employee in Beijing, has been eyeing a shift to the stock market since last September.Back then, a stimulus blitz by China’s central bank sent stocks zooming higher, bringing an end to a years-long selloff fuelled by fears about the economy. The CSI 300 jumped around 25% in a week, leading to a feeding frenzy among local investors. It wasn’t until this August that the index beat the highs set back then.“Stocks rallied so fast that I didn’t have time to get in,” said Mao, adding that this time he was keen not to miss out. “I took the opportunity to invest some of my spare money at the end of July and I’ve been increasing my holdings. I believe the rally will extend until the end of this year.”The CSI 300 has risen in nine of the past 10 weeks, taking its gain from this year’s low in early April to 25%. Investors have expressed confidence that authorities will keep sentiment supported before a September 3 military parade, which is set to mark the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II. China has a history of propping up its stock market ahead of major political events to project an image of stability.Some strategists, including those at Morgan Stanley, have flagged signs the market is overheating, with some technical indicators flashing overbought signals. In one example, shares of Cambricon Technologies Corp more than doubled in August, prompting the AI chip designer to warn investors that its stock price may no longer reflect fundamentals. That sent the stock tumbling on Friday.So far, the shift from savings to stocks is a trickle: The roughly 2.1tn yuan jump in non-financial deposits a proxy for liquidity in stocks, funds and trust accounts in July was just the highest since February, and not much above the seasonal average over the past decade.But analysts see the shift to equities getting a boost from a “TINA” environment for stocks, shorthand for “there is no alternative.”Bond yields are around historic lows, while real estate once the go to investment for Chinese citizens wanting to get rich hasn’t recovered from its yearslong slump. One-year fixed deposits at China’s largest banks now pay just 0.95% per year, the lowest on record.“There is a shortage of investable assets in China,” said Winnie Wu, chief China strategist at BofA Securities. “If the stock market has a clear money making effect, people will be willing to allocate more funds.”A key question is how well Chinese officials can manage market swings. Regulators and local investors have been scarred by previous periods of boom and bust, most dramatically a bubble a decade ago that wiped out more than $2tn of market value when it burst.Local broker Sinolink Securities Co has hiked margin requirements for stock traders, while some onshore mutual funds have limited the size of new orders. It is unclear whether these moves were triggered by regulatory guidance, but it’s common for Chinese officials to issue behind the scenes instructions to brokers and funds during periods of wild stock swings.Chinese media has also cautioned investors against speculation.Local investors clearly have plenty of cash to put to work, but fund managers and analysts say it will be steady rises rather than wild swings that will encourage them to stick around this time.“It’s important this time to have a slow bull market,” said Wu Xianfeng, a fund manager at Shenzhen Longteng Assets Management Co “That is the only way a shift from deposits to stocks can be sustainable.”