“We feel our monetary policy stance at the moment is OK,” Coomaraswamy said in an interview in Washington recently. “There is no demand side pressure that we see.”
The central bank on September 26 kept benchmark interest rates unchanged at a four-year high as bad weather across the South Asian island pushes up prices and dents growth. Coomaraswamy signalled he is willing to look through that supply disruption.
Rates were raised in March to quell inflation and bolster the rupee. The International Monetary Fund said on September 29 that Sri Lanka needs to remain vigilant on inflation and tighten policy if needed. The next monetary policy announcement is scheduled for November 7.
Inflation accelerated to 7.1% in September, above the central bank’s target, as the worst drought in 40 years followed by the most severe flooding in more than a decade disrupted supplies and fuelled price gains.
The economy will grow between 4% and 4.5% in 2017, Coomaraswamy said last month, lower than his June projections of 4.5% to 5%. According to the IMF, growth will likely be below 4.5% this year and rebound in 2018 as weather-related woes pass and infrastructure projects pick up, IMF mission chief Jaewoo Lee said in Colombo on September 29 after holding discussions on the third review of Sri Lanka’s $1.5bn programme.
“While one can be cautiously optimistic, it’s important to realise it’s a fragile recovery,” Coomaraswamy said.
The government plans to sell a foreign currency bond early next year and hasn’t yet decided which currency to borrow in, Coomaraswamy said.
“We are agnostic, we will look for the best deal,” he said. The tenor will be 10 years at least and options include yen, renminbi, dollars and others. Sri Lanka in May successfully sold $1.5bn of debt overseas, after getting more than $11bn of orders.