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| De Guindos (left), Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Presidency and government spokeswoman Soraya Saenz de Santamaria (centre) and Labour Minister Fatima Banez attend a news conference after a weekly cabinet meeting at the Moncloa Palace in Madrid, yesterday. Recovery and job creation are still two years off, de Guindos said |
Spain’s sickly economy faces a “crisis of huge proportions”, a minister said yesterday, as unemployment hit its highest level in almost two decades and Standard and Poor’s downgraded the government’s debt by two notches.
Unemployment shot up to 24% in the first quarter, one of the worst jobless figures in the developed world. Retail sales slumped for the twenty-first consecutive month as a recession cuts into consumer spending.
“The figures are terrible for everyone and terrible for the government ... Spain is in a crisis of huge proportions,” Foreign Minister Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo said.
Standard and Poor’s cited risks of an increase in bad loans at Spanish banks and called on Europe to take action to encourage growth.
The downgrade spooked financial markets, raising the interest rate fellow eurozone struggler Italy was forced to pay to sell 10-year bonds at auction. The yield was its highest since January as investors worried about the economic outlook in the bloc’s indebted states.
Analysts said the €5.95bn Italian auction went well under the circumstances, but Rabobank strategist Richard McGuire said the 5.84% 10-year yield “leaves a question mark over how long Italy will be able to finance itself at levels that can be deemed sustainable”.
Italy’s main banking association said the economy may contract by 1.4% this year, more than the government’s 1.2% forecast.
Spain’s country risk, as measured by the spread on yields between Spanish and German benchmark government bonds, spiked before leveling off to around 420 basis points.
Spain has slipped into its second recession in three years and fears that it cannot hit harsh deficit cutting targets this year have put it back in the centre of the debt crisis storm, pushing up its borrowing costs.
Recovery and job creation are still two years off, Economy Minister Luis de Guindos said yesterday at a news conference where he forecast 0.2% growth in the gross domestic product next year and 1.4% growth in 2014.
De Guindos also said Spain would increase the value-added tax and other indirect taxes next year, but would seek to reduce payroll taxes. Spain has a low Vat compared with other European countries even after raising it in 2010.
The government has already rescued a number of banks that were too exposed to a decade-long construction boom that crashed in 2008, and investors fear vulnerable lenders will be hit by another wave of loan defaults due to the slowing economy.
S&P’s head of European ratings, Moritz Kraemer, said Spanish banks could need state aid and the country faced further downgrades if its debt troubles continue to escalate. “It is not going to be an easy job for most Spanish banks to find funding in the market,” he said.
Spain has ruled out any use of European funds to re-capitalise its banks, weighed down by bad property loans. Economy Secretary Fernando Jimenez Latorre said Spain had sufficient financial capacity to handle a rescue itself in case of need.
The government is considering whether to create a holding company for the banks’ toxic real estate assets after three rounds of forced clean-ups and consolidations in the financial sector have failed to draw a line under the problem.
Conservative Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, in office since December, has passed an austerity budget and introduced new laws to try to make the economy more competitive, such as by reducing costs for companies to lay off workers. He has also agreed with Brussels a higher deficit target for this year.
But he has not convinced investors, and Spain’s borrowing costs have shot up recently as the effect of a flow of cheap loans from the European Central Bank has worn off.
On Thursday, Rajoy said he was determined to stick to austerity measures even though they are aggravating the economic slump and calls for growth measures are mounting around Europe.
The treasury ministry estimated the increase of 365,900 jobless people in the first quarter meant a loss of 953mn euros in tax income, making deficit cutting even harder.
The unemployment rate was up from 22.9% in the last quarter of 2011 and was worse than economists had forecast. Half of Spain’s youth are out of work, and figures are unlikely to improve for some time as the government slashes spending by 42bn euros this year, some 4% of economic output.