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Donald Trump is sworn in as the 47th US President in the US Capitol Rotunda in Washington, DC, on Monday. AFP
International

Trump sworn in for second term vowing sweeping change

Donald Trump was sworn in for a historic second term as president on Monday, pledging a blitz of immediate orders on immigration and the US culture wars as he caps his extraordinary comeback.With one hand raised in the air and the other on a Bible given to him by his mother, the 47th US president solemnly took the oath of office beneath the huge Rotunda of the US Capitol.Republican Trump and outgoing Democratic President Joe Biden had earlier traveled by motorcade together to the Capitol, where the ceremony was being held indoors -- and with a much smaller crowd -- for the first time in decades due to frigid weather.Earlier, they and their spouses met for a traditional tea at the White House."Welcome home," Biden said to Trump as he and First Lady Jill Biden greeted their successors at the front door to the presidential residence.Trump, 78, was a political outsider at his first inauguration in 2017 as the 45th president, but this time around he is surrounded by America's wealthy and powerful.The world's richest man, Elon Musk, Meta boss Mark Zuckerberg, Amazon chief Jeff Bezos and Google CEO Sundar Pichai all had prime seats in the Capitol alongside Trump's family and cabinet members.Musk, who bankrolled Trump's election campaign to the tune of a quarter of a billion dollars and promotes far-right policies on the X social network, will lead a cost-cutting drive in the new administration.While Trump refused to attend Biden's 2021 inauguration after falsely claiming electoral fraud by the Democrat, this time Biden has been keen to restore the sense of tradition.Biden joined former presidents Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton at the Capitol. Former first ladies Hillary Clinton and Laura Bush were there but ex-first lady Michelle Obama pointedly stayed away.Unusually for an inauguration where foreign leaders are normally not invited, Argentina's hard-right president Javier Milei was attending, along with Italy's far-right Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.The bitter cold weather has forced Trump's inauguration indoors for the first time since Ronald Reagan's in 1985, missing out on the customary massive crowds along the National Mall.Behind the pomp and ceremony, the billionaire is kickstarting his nationalist, right-wing agenda with a barrage of around 100 executive orders undoing Biden's legacy.Trump will declare a national emergency at the Mexico border, give the US military a key role on the frontier, and end birthright citizenship, as he seeks clamp down on undocumented migrants, an official from his incoming administration said.Trump has pledged to start immediate deportations of undocumented migrants.He will also sign an order for the US government to recognize only two biological sexes and seek to eliminate federal government diversity programs as he takes office.The announcement of the hardline policies came a day after Trump had promised a "brand new day" and to end "four years of American decline.""I will act with historic speed and strength and fix every single crisis facing our country," Trump told an inauguration eve rally where he danced with the Village People band.Despite promising a new "golden era," populist Trump also campaigned on often apocalyptic depictions of the country in his victorious election campaign against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in November.At sunrise on Monday, the National Mall, where the inauguration was originally due to be held, was largely empty -- save for the Fairchild family, who traveled from Michigan to pay tribute to Trump."Ecstatic," said grandmother Barb, when asked how they were feeling, adding she thought the move indoors was made "to protect our president."With minutes left in his presidency, Biden issued extraordinary pre-emptive pardons for his brothers and sister to shield them from "baseless and politically motivated investigations."He also pardoned former Covid-19 advisor Anthony Fauci, retired general Mark Milley, and members of a US House committee probing the violent January 6, 2021 US Capitol attack by Trump's supporters.Biden said he had also restored the tradition of leaving a letter for his successor -- though he said the contents were between him and Trump.Trump will make history by replacing Biden as the oldest president to be sworn in. He is also just the second president in US history to return to power after being voted out, after Grover Cleveland in 1893.Another first is Trump's criminal record, related to paying a porn star hush money during his first presidential run -- and a string of far more serious criminal probes that were dropped once he won the election in November.For the rest of the world, Trump's return means expecting the unexpected.From promising sweeping tariffs, to making territorial threats to Greenland and Panama and calling US aid for Ukraine into question, Trump looks set to rattle the global order once again.Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Trump ahead of the inauguration and said Monday he was open to talks on the Ukraine conflict, adding he hoped any settlement would ensure "lasting peace".


Shoppers choose secret packages during ‘blind sales’ at the pop-up store King Colis, a French startup that organises sales of lost parcels from e-commerce platforms like Amazon, at the Roma Est shopping centre. (AFP)
International

Rome shoppers take pot luck in ‘blind sale’ of unclaimed packages

Benedetta slid a manicured nail through the sellotape of a mystery package to unwrap a garden hoe and earbuds. Her friend discovered she had bought some sort of harness.The Italian students are among hundreds of people at this “blind sale” of unclaimed packages, where boxes large and small are paid for according to their weight at a Rome shopping centre.“Many people might say this is a good surprise,” Benedetta told AFP, holding up the wireless earphones in one hand. “But in my opinion it’s this. It’s a hoe.”“I live in the countryside. I always have to plant flowers and I use a soup spoon to dig. I would never have bought a hoe of my own volition,” she said.Organised by French startup King Colis, the event aims to reduce waste and promote sustainability.It is the company’s first event in Italy and is proving so popular that King Colis CEO Killian Denis predicts they could sell 10 tonnes of packages in six days, with an average of 800 buyers and 3,000 visitors per day.Denis said he came up with the idea during the Covid lockdown, after several things he ordered online to entertain his young daughters got lost in the post.“Each time I was reimbursed... but I started to wonder what happened to the lost, undeliverable packages,” Denis told AFP.“I discovered that they were destroyed by the logistics companies in charge of their delivery, since they’re of no use to them and the suppliers refuse to take them back because of the transport costs.”That is when he and a childhood friend decided become “parcel rescuers”, he said.Antoine Ulry manages the pop-up stand in the shopping centre, where people get 10 minutes to “take as many items as you like from the bins”.People dug through the piles, holding packages up to their ears and shaking them. The queue to join them snaked through the centre.“The only rule you have to follow is not to open the parcels before you buy them,” Ulry said.Some shoppers immediately tore into their purchases the moment the cash was handed over. As one customer wheeled away a shopping trolley overflowing with boxes, road maintenance worker Giuseppe Arancio discovered the packages he paid €123 ($126) for include a stone cooking pot.“The pot is valuable and I got other little things I needed. Out of the uncertainty came useful things”, he said with a smile.After the initial pop-up sales in France, the company has organised blind sales in Austria, Denmark, Germany, Luxembourg and The Netherlands. Portugal, Spain and Sweden are to follow soon.It also sells bundles of mystery parcels online.One third of the packages sold come from European logistics giants, while the other two thirds come from Amazon resellers.Most of the latter are lost parcels, while the remainder are returned and unsold things.Such is the appetite for the blind sales that King Colis is currently out of e-commerce packages to sell, beyond the three pop-up events it has planned in January. Its website says it hopes to replenish stocks soon.An Amazon spokesperson told AFP: “We do not work with ‘mystery box’/’secret package’ retailers.”The company does “not send unopened or undeliverable customer returns to liquidators” but does use liquidations to give some returned products “a second life”.

Tanzanian activist Maria Sarungi Tsehai gestures during a press conference after she was abducted and later released, in Nairobi, Kenya, last Monday. (Reuters)
Opinion

Africa’s youth protests: A storm brewing for 2025?

Kenyan activist Boniface Mwangi has been part of countless demonstrations over the years, but the anti-government protests that hit the country last June and July defied all expectations.Mwangi said he witnessed something unprecedented - a powerful awakening of the Kenyan youth who leveraged social media to mobilise against a finance bill which proposed a raft of tax hikes.“The biggest mobilisers of the protest were the Gen Zs. They were on TikTok, Instagram and on X. The majority of the people in the streets were young people,” Mwangi told the Thomson Reuters Foundation.“For the first time in history, Kenyans were united for one purpose, to defeat the finance bill,” he said. “It was us waking up to the power we have and becoming active citizens to demand accountability and meaningful change in our country.”The nationwide protests forced President William Ruto to make a historic U-turn by scrapping his reviled law, sacking cabinet ministers and pledging a slate of measures to cut wasteful spending of public funds.Africa, home to the world’s youngest population, has seen a wave of youth-led protests fuelled by frustrations over rampant corruption, poor governance, high living costs and rising unemployment.Gen Z and millennials protested in Kenya, Ghana, Uganda, Nigeria and Mozambique in 2024, and some analysts expect this activism to intensify in 2025 as grievances persist.Murithi Mutiga, program director for Africa for the International Crisis Group, said frustrations partly arise from Africa’s struggle to recover from economic shocks like Covid-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war, which has driven up food and fuel prices.There is also growing resentment among a generation increasingly aware of its rights, empowered by the internet to take action for change, said Mutiga.“The young want more than their parents. They are more informed. They are more politically active,” he said. “I think it’s possible that you’ll see more protests in 2025.”Youth disillusionmentAfrica has the fastest growing, youngest population of any continent, with 70% of sub-Saharan Africa’s people under the age of 30.Fuelling their growing wave of disillusionment are scarce job opportunities. Some 53mn youth - more than one in five - in sub-Saharan Africa are not engaged in any form of employment, education or training, says the UN’s International Labour Organisation.A 2024 survey of African youth found three-quarters of respondents said it was difficult to find a job, and two-thirds were dissatisfied with their governments’ efforts to create employment opportunities.The survey, which polled more than 5,600 Africans ages 18-25 in 13 countries, also found that four in five were worried about corruption, most notably in the government, private sector and the police.“Most are dissatisfied with efforts to tackle corruption and there is widespread support for a range of policies to address it,” the Africa Youth Survey said.Political analysts and observers said it was not surprising to see youth beginning to push back against their governments.Aslak Orre, a senior researcher at Chr. Michelsen Institute, a development research institute based in Norway, said young people across the region were exasperated with poor economic growth, few jobs, high public debt and austerity measures.“And for that, they blame the politicians from a different generation, who they see as working for themselves rather than the public good,” Orre said.In Mozambique, a disputed October election that extended the Frelimo party’s 49-year rule sparked more than three months of protests against corruption, living costs and unemployment.“We are demanding change,” said Ronaldo António, a 25-year-old street vendor in Maputo, during December protests when crowds marched, whistled and chanted, blocking traffic with trash bins, stones and tyres.“We eat chicken feet and necks while government officials are eating the chickens,” he added.In Ghana, ahead of December 7 presidential and parliamentary elections, young people mounted street protests against the nation’s debt crisis and high inflation, which have triggered the worst economic crisis in a generation.Ghanaian filmmaker Kwame Addae, 26, said he voted for businessman Nana Kwame Bediako, even though he knew the newcomer would not win against seasoned politician and former president John Mahama.“We are tired of the status quo, and I wanted someone like him (Bediako) that was thinking of the digital economy as a means to provide jobs and move us to a modern Ghana,” said Addae, adding that Bediako’s political message resonated with young voters.Activists noted that the protests across Africa had particularly significant impact because young people can skillfully wield digital activism.In Mozambique, Ângelo do Rosário, who is known as Maxh on social media, said he used his 1.2mn Facebook and more than 300,000 TikTok, Instagram and YouTube followers respectively to encourage young Mozambicans to demand their rights.“(We demand) quality education in Mozambique, the availability of a decent health service and all of this the people believe is the result of the bad governance we have in Mozambique,” said Rosário.Police killings, abductionsThe protests across the continent have not been without consequence.Hundreds of young people have been detained or killed in clashes with police, and scores of protesters remain missing.In Kenya, some prominent rights groups have accused authorities of a cover-up of dozens of alleged police killings, unexplained abductions and illegal detentions related to the Gen Z protests.Kenya’s National Commission on Human Rights, a government-funded body, recorded 82 cases of enforced disappearances in the period between the protests, from June and December. Of those, 29 people remain unaccounted for. At least 40 people have been killed.In Mozambique, at least 278 people have been killed in police crackdowns against protesters, and more than 2,000 families have fled and sought refuge in neighbouring Malawi.In November, Nigeria charged 76 people, including children, with treason and inciting a military coup after deadly August protests erupted against economic hardship and spiralling inflation.Nigerian activist Rinu Oduala - one of the organisers of prominent #EndSARS protests against police brutality in 2020 - warned that youth uprisings are unlikely to die down anytime soon.“Protests by young people aren’t a crime, we are doing it out of love for our countries and hope for a better future - they must be seen as calls for change and what’s rightfully ours,” said Oduala, 24, who has more than 800,000 followers on X.“But the lesson is clear: ignoring youth voices will be a huge political risk to any government going forward,” she added. - Thomson Reuters Foundation


US President Donald Trump and US first lady Melania Trump arrive during the White House Easter Egg Roll on the South Lawn of the White House on April 22, 2019 in Washington, DC. They are set for a return, come January 20. (AFP)
Opinion

Will US democracy survive Trump?

Donald Trump’s inauguration as America’s 47th president will be historic in several ways. He will be America’s oldest president. He will be the first who is a convicted felon. And he will be the first Republican president in two decades who won the popular vote – an achievement that both highlights and compounds the crisis of democracy the United States is now confronting.Since George W Bush defeated John Kerry by some 3mn votes in 2004, Republican presidents have won thanks to the Electoral College, which bolsters the influence of voters in less populous states. Many of these states lean Republican, lending a significant advantage to the party’s presidential candidates. That includes Trump, who won in 2016 despite receiving about 3mn fewer votes than Hillary Clinton.In 2020, however, this Electoral College advantage was not enough. With over 81mn votes – the largest number in US history – President Joe Biden trounced Trump by 7mn votes. But this time, Trump won over 77mn votes, compared to Kamala Harris’s 75mn. While a two-million-vote difference does not amount to anything close to a landslide, Trump and his team have presented the results as a major triumph and a powerful mandate to transform America.Trump’s victory can be attributed largely to his preternatural ability, shared with all successful demagogues, to identify an issue that resonates with voters, convince them that it is an even bigger problem than they think, and then offer “solutions” that are simultaneously facile and vague.Voters fear immigration? In 2016, Trump led chants of “Build the wall!” without an effective plan for doing so, let alone showing how a wall on the US border with Mexico – which was never built – would actually address illegal immigration. In 2024, he promised the “largest deportation operation in American history,” while providing few details about logistics, mitigating the economic and social fallout, or preventing human-rights violations. Ask questions, and all you would get was an inflated figure for undocumented immigrants and tirades about “criminals” who “eat pets.”Voters are struggling economically? That one is easy: blame Biden. In late 2019, the US economy was doing relatively well, giving the impression that Trump’s tax cuts and deregulation were working. But in 2020, the economy plummeted: between April and June, US GDP fell by about 30% compared to the previous quarter. Of course, the Covid-19 crisis caused the crash, but Trump’s response – or lack thereof – undoubtedly exacerbated it.From the start, Trump downplayed the pandemic’s seriousness, with severe repercussions for public health. So, by the time Biden became president, he had a huge mess to clean up. To limit the public-health fallout, his administration supported mask and vaccine mandates and other evidence-based measures aimed at stemming transmission. And to accelerate economic recovery and support people’s incomes, he launched an audacious fiscal-stimulus program.Such spending, together with supply-chain disruptions and other factors, contributed to a spike in inflation. While inflation has since been brought under control, and the US Federal Reserve is now cutting interest rates, prices remain elevated. For ordinary voters, the fact that inflation was a global phenomenon and that the US is outperforming its peers meant little. All that mattered was whether their living standards improved under Biden, and for many, the answer was no.To be sure, Trump’s opponents – first Biden, and then his replacement, Vice President Harris – did not mount an effective defense of their record. They failed to offer a convincing plan for managing immigration or to connect with the working-class voters who feel unheard and unprotected. While the Democrats touted complex industrial strategies involving massive public investment in climate-related projects, Trump simply shouted, “Tariffs!” Never mind that those tariffs will drive up prices for US consumers; he said they would fix everything, and that was good enough for desperate voters.It did not help that for nearly three years Americans had been seeing reports of seemingly huge amounts of aid going to Ukraine, leaving many wondering why that money was not going toward improving their lives. Whereas Biden and Harris promised to support Ukraine indefinitely, Trump declared that he would end the war in a day. Meanwhile, the Democrats alienated many young Americans by eagerly supporting Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza, which has led to a humanitarian disaster of historic proportions.Trump’s victory has set the stage for a lurch toward autocracy. But Americans need not resign themselves to the collapse of their democracy. The US, after all, has a long history of abandoning dangerous political projects when they go too far (McCarthyism is a case in point). And it cannot be stated too often that Trump defeated his opponent in the last election by only 1.5 percentage points.Contrary to the political theorist Francis Fukuyama’s famous declaration that the end of the Cold War meant we had reached the “end of history,” the work of defending democracy is never done. If Americans allow apathy to take hold, they might find themselves living in a post-democratic society, which the late Samuel P Huntington’s own Cold War postmortem warned could lead to civilisational conflict and the collapse of the international order that has underpinned relative world peace for several decades. — Project SyndicateKoichi Hamada, Professor Emeritus at Yale University, was a special adviser to former Japanese prime minister Abe Shinzo.

Republican President-elect Donald Trump. (Reuters/File Photo)
Opinion

What can Trump do through executive orders?

Republican President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to reshape U.S. policy with a blizzard of executive orders within hours of taking office next week.Here is a look at what the president can and cannot do by executive order.What is an executive order?An executive order is an order issued unilaterally by the president that has the force of law. Notable executive orders issued by Trump in his first term include a ban on travel from some Muslim-majority countries and an order expanding the leasing of offshore waters for oil exploration. Trump issued 220 executive orders in his first term, more than any other president in a single four-year term since Jimmy Carter. President Joe Biden issued 155 executive orders as of Monday.How fast can an executive order take effect?Once a president signs an executive order, it can take effect immediately or not for months, depending on whether it requires formal action from a federal agency.For example, Trump’s Muslim ban took effect immediately, because it invoked a 1952 federal law that explicitly gave the president the authority to bar “any class of aliens” from the country if he deemed them detrimental. Other executive orders instruct federal agencies to take action. For example, Democrat Biden ordered health agencies to take action to safeguard reproductive rights after the US Supreme Court allowed states to ban it. This had no immediate effect, but agencies in the following months passed new rules through the usual rulemaking process, such as a regulation meant to safeguard the privacy of people who exercise reproductive rights.Where does the power to issue executive orders come from?While the extent of the president’s executive order power has been disputed, legal experts agree that it comes either from Article II of the US Constitution, which makes the president the commander in chief of the military and the head of the executive branch of government, or from powers explicitly given to the president by Congress.Laws passed by Congress typically delegate rulemaking authority to federal agencies, which ultimately report to the president. Many executive orders instruct the agencies to take actions or make rules in order to fulfil certain goals, effectively functioning as an announcement of the president’s policies.What can’t the president do through executive orders?The president cannot make new law beyond the powers specifically given to him by the Constitution or Congress simply by issuing an executive order.If an executive order instructs agencies to take action, any resulting agency rulemaking is subject to the federal Administrative Procedure Act, which requires agencies to allow public comment on any rules and forbids rules that are “arbitrary and capricious”.Agency rules also cannot violate basic constitutional rights, such as due process and equal protection under the law, or laws that have been passed by Congress.Can executive orders be blocked by courts?Yes. Executive orders can be challenged in court and have been blocked for exceeding the president’s authority. A judge in 2017 blocked Trump’s order meant to withhold federal funding from so-called sanctuary cities that did not co-operate with his immigration policies, finding that the president could not impose new conditions on federal spending that had been approved by Congress. A federal appeals court in 2023 blocked Biden’s executive order requiring federal workers to be vaccinated against Covid-19, finding that it overstepped his authority by interfering with personal medical decisions. On the other hand, courts have often backed the president’s executive order powers, as when the Supreme Court in 2018 upheld the Muslim travel ban.


Tourists walk through the streets by Yasaka Pagoda (behind) during a visit to the city of Kyoto. Japan will today announce tourist figures for the year 2024, widely expected to break the record set in 2019.
International

Japanese tourist magnet Kyoto to hike hotel taxes

Kyoto authorities announced yesterday plans to hike lodging taxes, as Japan’s ancient capital seeks to assuage grumbles from locals about too many tourists. Lured by its myriad sights and a weak yen, Japan has seen foreign tourism numbers explode in recent years, with arrivals in 2024 expected to have hit a record of more than 35mn.But like other hotspots worldwide such as Venice in Italy or Maya Bay in Thailand, this is not universally welcome, particularly in tradition-steeped Kyoto. The city, which is a modest bullet train ride away from Tokyo - with a view of Mount Fuji on the way - is famed for its kimono-clad geisha performers and Buddhist temples.Residents have complained of disrespectful tourists harassing the geisha like paparazzi in their frenzy for photos, as well as causing traffic congestion and littering. For rooms costing between 20,000 and 50,000 yen ($127-317) per night, visitors will now see their tax double to 1,000 yen ($6.35) per person per night, under the new plans.For accommodation over 100,000 yen per night it will soar tenfold to 10,000 yen. The new levies will take effect next year, subject to approval from the city assembly. “We intend to hike accommodation tax to realise ‘sustainable tourism’ with a high level of satisfaction for citizens, tourists and businesses,” a statement said. Tensions are highest in the Gion district, home to teahouses where “geiko” - the local name for geisha - and their “maiko” apprentices perform traditional dances and play instruments.Last year authorities moved to ban visitors from entering certain narrow private alleys in Gion after pressure from a council of local residents. One council member told local media about an instance of a maiko’s kimono being torn and another who had a cigarette butt put in her collar.In 2019, the Gion district council put up signs saying “no photography on private roads” warning of fines of up to 10,000 yen. “I appreciate tourists visiting the city, but there are also some downsides like the impact on the environment,” resident Daichi Hayase told AFP, welcoming the new taxes.“But it doesn’t mean the city should impose excessive taxes. Tourists are coming despite painful inflation,” the 38-year-old photographer said. “If there’s a burden on the infrastructure, I do think taxing tourists is a good idea,” said Australian tourist Larry Cooke, 21. But he said that the city had to find the “right balance”.Tourism has been booming for over a decade in Japan, with foreign arrivals rising five-fold between 2012 and when the Covid pandemic torpedoed foreign travel in 2020. Since restrictions were lifted, and the government is hoping to welcome 60mn tourists per year by 2030, almost double last year’s expected total. Authorities have also taken steps beyond Kyoto, including introducing an entry fee and a daily cap on the number of hikers climbing Mount Fuji.Last year a barrier was briefly erected outside a convenience store with a spectacular view of the famous snow-capped volcano that had become a magnet for photo-hungry visitors. And in December Ginzan Onsen, a Japanese hot spring town with made-for-Instagram snowy scenes began stopping anyone arriving after 8pm if they don’t have a hotel booked.

Qatari Businessmen Association received HE the Minister of Commerce and Industry, Sheikh Faisal bin Thani bin Faisal al-Thani, and HE the Minister of State for Foreign Trade Affairs, Dr Ahmed bin Mohamed al-Sayed, at the association headquarters in Doha on Monday. The two dignitaries were received by HE Sheikh Faisal bin Qassim al-Thani, QBA Chairman, and Hussain Ibrahim Alfardan, First Deputy Chairman, along with QBA Board Members, Sheikh Hamad bin Faisal al-Thani, Sheikh Nawaf bin Nasser al-Thani, Sherida al-Kaabi and Saud al-Mana.
Business

QBA hosts Minister of Commerce and Industry; discusses initiatives of Qatari business community

Qatari Businessmen Association (QBA) received HE the Minister of Commerce and Industry, Sheikh Faisal bin Thani bin Faisal al-Thani and HE the Minister of State for Foreign Trade Affairs, Dr Ahmed bin Mohamed al-Sayed, at the association headquarters here on Monday. "The visit was aimed at enhancing communication with the Qatari business community and entrepreneurs, listen to their views, and discuss with them the ministry's initiatives dedicated to serving and developing the national economy" a QBA statement said. The two dignitaries were received by HE Sheikh Faisal bin Qassim al-Thani, QBA Chairman, and Hussain Ibrahim Alfardan, First Deputy Chairman, along with QBA board members, Sheikh Hamad bin Faisal al-Thani, Sheikh Nawaf bin Nasser al-Thani, Sherida al-Kaabi and Saud al-Mana. The meeting was attended by QBA members, Sheikh Mansour bin Jassim al-Thani, Khalid al-Mannai, Salah al-Jaidah, Moataz al-Khayyat, Ibrahim al-Jaidah, Ashraf Abu Issa, Abdul Salam Issa Abu Issa, Faisal al-Mannai, Abdullah al-Kubaisi, Maqbool Habib Khalfan, Rashid al-Mansouri, Mohammed Althaf, Ihsan al-Khyiami and Abdulrazzaq al-Kuwari. The meeting was also attended by HE Mohammed Hassan al-Malki, Undersecretary of the Ministry of Commerce and Industry; HE Saleh Majid al-Khulaifi, Assistant Undersecretary for Industry and Business Development Affairs; HE Ayedh Munahi al-Qahtani, Assistant Undersecretary for Trade Affairs; Sultan bin Ali al-Falasi, Office Manager of the Minister of Commerce; and Sarah Abdallah, QBA Deputy GM. QBA Chairman and members expressed their appreciation to the minister for this initiative and emphasised the "importance of close collaboration" between the public and private sectors in serving the national economy. They highly praised the effective economic initiatives, including policies, legislation, and diverse projects, implemented under the guidance of His Highness the Amir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani. These initiatives aim to empower national institutions and encourage entrepreneurs to engage in the industrial sector. QBA members also congratulated HE the Minister of Commerce and Industry on the launch of the Ministry of Commerce and Industry Strategy and Qatar National Manufacturing Strategy 2024–2030. The Minister expressed his happiness to the Chairman and members of the QBA for their warm welcome. He praised the association's prominent role and the business community's efforts in promoting Qatar as a regional investment hub and attracting investors and expertise through various economic activities such as conferences and workshops. He also praised QBA's initiatives to strengthen collaboration with economic institutions and business associations worldwide, as well as its organisation of delegations led by Qatari business leaders to international markets. These efforts contribute to raising awareness of the Qatari market and opening new opportunities for co-operation with global markets. HE Sheikh Faisal said his "ministry places great importance on supporting the private sector as a key partner in achieving sustainable economic development". He pointed out that Qatari institutions and companies have gained global competitiveness and are present in major international markets through successful investments that have contributed to the development of the national economy and the transfer of expertise and knowledge to the local market. QBA members shared several economic ideas and aspirations with the minister, all aimed at enhancing the role of Qatar’s private sector and facilitating its operations. Several joint initiatives were discussed, through which economic initiatives will be examined. These initiatives will focus on facilitating joint collaboration to support the implementation of the Ministry's programmes and initiatives and ensure they are communicated effectively to the business community. During their discussions, business leaders expressed concerns related to the private sector across various areas, including investment facilitation, financing, and legislative procedures. QBA Chairman HE Sheikh Faisal pointed out that the private sector has become the "fundamental pillar" of national economies worldwide. He emphasised that Qatar’s Third National Strategy reinforces this concept by granting a more significant role to the Qatari private sector in the local economy. QBA First Deputy Chairman Hussein Ibrahim Alfardan highlighted the significant progress made by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry in recent years, highlighting the Minister's initiative to meet with the business community, noting that it will contribute to enhancing effective communication in a collaborative manner QBA Board Member Sheikh Hamad bin Faisal al-Thani emphasised that the association is a “national supporter of the State and the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.” QBA Board Member Sheikh Nawaf Nasser bin Khaled al-Thani, highlighted the success of the Obstacle Resolution Committee, established between the private sector and the Ministry, in resolving several outstanding issues. He also emphasized the importance of forming a joint committee with the Prime Minister's Office in the near future, as such a committee would play a significant role in facilitating business operations and addressing challenges faced by both local and foreign investors. QBA Board member Saud al-Mana addressed the issue of industrial land, opening factories, and the Ministry's role in attracting foreign investors. Moataz al-Khayyat addressed challenges in the construction sector, which has faced significant difficulties over the past five years due to the Covid-19 pandemic, rising global shipping costs, and increased fuel prices. An agreement was reached to hold a dedicated meeting to find appropriate solutions for this vital sector. Several other QBA members also discussed topics such as e-commerce, trade exhibitions, and protecting local products.

Gulf Times
Opinion

A no-brainer for global growth and US Jobs

In August 2021, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued $209bn to developing countries in the form of special drawing rights (the IMF’s reserve asset). SDRs are much like cash, because recipient governments can convert them to hard currency. As such, they are a highly effective tool, and the IMF can and should make greater use of them.While the 2021 issuance helped billions of people around the world, hundreds of thousands of Americans also benefited – and would do so again. Exports of US goods and services to developing countries total around $1tn, and if these countries get an infusion of reserves, they will import even more.This effect can be quite significant. An SDR distribution the size of the 2021 issuance would be expected to create about as many jobs in the United States in one year as the $740bn Inflation Reduction Act did in its first year. We are talking, conservatively, about 111,000-191,000 new jobs, most of which would be in export-related areas such as manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing.In fact, the total number of jobs created could be substantially more, since we also must account for the role of SDRs – as reserves – in stabilising developing economies. This effect would be even more important if the world economy slowed, as it seems to be doing now. (The global growth rate has declined sharply since the last SDR distribution, from a record 6.6% in 2021 to half that today.).Nor is this the only compelling reason to favour another SDR issuance. With so many countries facing tight budgetary constraints in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic, it could help countries make the investments needed to mitigate climate change.And even if one puts these considerations aside, it is obvious that the world needs another SDR issuance. Many countries are facing debt crises, with the result that some 3.3bn people live in countries that spend more on interest payments than on health care, while 2.1bn people live in countries that spend more on interest than on education.So why hasn’t a new issuance already happened? It turns out that the US Treasury Department is the biggest hurdle. Under IMF rules (which were written in 1944), the 190-member organisation does not follow the principle of “one country, one vote.” Instead, the US has 16.5% of the votes, and any decision to authorise a new SDR issuance requires 85% approval. The Treasury Department, which represents the US at the IMF, thus wields a veto, and as long as it brings along other high-income countries, it can push through almost any measure it wants.What is needed for another SDR issuance, then, is America’s support. Though the Treasury Department would be required to give Congress a 90-day notice, a 2021-size issuance would not actually require a congressional vote. The outgoing Biden administration could start the process today, and Donald Trump’s incoming administration need only concur with the decision.Would Trump go along with this? It is certainly possible, considering that a new issuance would create jobs in the US. If it happens quickly, without any slowdown in Congress, it could even be distributed as early as April.While US organised labour has already voiced support for a new issuance, Wall Street also has a big stake in the matter. US financial firms are holding tens of billions of dollars in debt-distressed developing countries’ sovereign bonds, and a fresh infusion of cash into those economies could save them from potentially massive losses on their investments. As global economic growth has slowed, the bonds they are holding are more at risk than they were three years ago. Moreover, like the 2021 issuance, a new one would have zero cost to the US budget.Of course, the biggest impact would be on the developing world. Globally, 282mn people are at risk of starvation, up from 135mn before the pandemic, and from 258mn in 2022. The additional reserves created by new SDRs would enable more imports of food and medicine, as well as investments in badly needed public-health equipment and infrastructure.In 2021, the $209bn SDR issuance exceeded all official development aid that developing countries received that year. Issuing SDRs can save hundreds of thousands of lives around the world, and, unlike most aid, it comes with no debt and no strings attached. For all of these reasons, the Catholic Church and other religious organisations have consistently supported new SDR allocations.No economists, including at the US Treasury, have offered any plausible argument that a new issuance would carry significant downside risks. The IMF’s own assessment concluded that the last issuance “contributed to global financial stability,” with “no evidence that allocation materially contributed to global inflation.”The Biden administration should take the advice of virtually all the economists who have looked at this question and initiate a new issuance of SDRs. Doing so would steer the IMF onto a path toward creating hundreds of thousands of US jobs and saving countless lives around the world. — Project Syndicate• Joseph E Stiglitz, a former chief economist of the World Bank and former chair of the US President’s Council of Economic Advisers, is University Professor at Columbia University, a Nobel laureate in economics, and the author, most recently, of The Road to Freedom: Economics and the Good Society.•Mark Weisbrot, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, is the author of Failed: What the ‘Experts’ Got Wrong About the Global Economy.

Gulf Times
Opinion

Europe CEOs must dilate on AI regulation

As artificial intelligence (AI) reshapes economies and societies, business leaders must consider how they will work with policymakers to govern the technology’s development. In the European Union, the recently adopted AI Act requires businesses to take precautionary measures depending on the risks associated with different use cases. Thus, using AI to engage in “social scoring” is deemed “unacceptable”, whereas AI-augmented e-mail filters come with “minimal risk”.The success of this approach will depend on businesses contributing technical expertise and practical insights to strike a balance between promoting innovation and addressing societal concerns. Leaving regulation entirely to policymakers and a few powerful companies risks creating rules that serve only Big Tech’s interests, while sidelining other industry perspectives.In the case of the EU’s AI Act, a lack of business participation in the drafting process has already left critical implementation details unresolved. For example, the law could be construed as regulating conventional statistical techniques such as linear regression, which is commonly used in the financial sector. If so, that would add an unnecessary compliance burden. Similarly, the law is ambiguous about which standard tools in drug development fall under its scope; such uncertainty could slow development and increase costs in an already heavily regulated industry.Such issues can be avoided if CEOs from these sectors get more involved. Although the text of the AI Act is finalised, questions of interpretation, implementation, and enforcement are still evolving. The precise list of high-risk AI systems – the most important category for sectors ranging from health care to banking – may change over time, based on industry feedback.Moreover, with rules and frameworks being formulated in the United States and other countries, as well as through international collaborations, business leaders need to broaden their scope. They could make valuable contributions to what is quickly becoming a complex, multi-jurisdictional regulatory landscape.Historically, public-private collaboration has been key to managing transformative technologies. During the Covid-19 pandemic, it ensured a proper balance between innovation and safety in achieving accelerated vaccine development. Similarly, the nuclear energy industry’s early engagement with regulators yielded rules for small modular reactors that reduced costs, streamlined licensing, and harmonised standards, enabling companies to expand into new markets, attract investment, and improve their competitive position – a notable departure from the sector’s traditionally burdensome regulatory landscape.In both cases, regulatory frameworks benefited from real-world input. Yet in the case of AI, too many companies remain on the sidelines, heightening the risk of poorly designed rules that hinder progress. This absence of business engagement does not reflect a lack of opportunity. Only 7% of corporate participants invited to the EU’s drafting process for its General-Purpose AI Code of Practice turned up, leaving NGOs and academics to dominate the discussions. Meanwhile, a recent BCG survey found that 72% of executives say their organisations are not fully prepared for AI regulation.If you are a CEO, what should you do? Since AI regulation and deployment are primarily sector-specific processes, a first step is to align with your industry so that you are all speaking in unison. That is the best way to make yourself heard alongside tech giants that are spending more than $100mn per year lobbying policymakers in Brussels (with Meta leading the pack).But AI regulation is not only about erecting guardrails and setting limits. In addition to building industry coalitions and agreeing on common AI standards, CEOs need to contribute to the full set of digital regulations that may affect their industries.As part of its broader digital strategy, the European Commission has implemented four other major laws and introduced the concept of “data spaces”. These are supposed to allow data to flow securely within the EU and across sectors, while maintaining compliance with EU laws. It now falls to industry to build these channels (with public funding). CEOs that align their corporate strategies with this emerging regime will be best positioned to capitalise on sector-specific opportunities.Executives also should identify and establish relationships with top policymakers and other influential stakeholders in their respective sectors, and at all levels of governance. These include the European Data Protection Board and national AI regulatory bodies in Europe, as well as agencies like the Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Justice in the United States. In each case, it is best to play the long game by building stable relationships based on expertise and trust, not transactional exchanges.To support these efforts, CEOs should have a specialised team dedicated solely to regulatory engagement. Simply rejecting proposed regulations is not an option, so defining fair trade-offs is key. Corporate leaders should be prepared to respond with clear, actionable alternatives presented in policymakers’ language, not industry jargon. For example, banks could propose that assessments of creditworthiness be exempted from the AI Act’s high-risk designation, on the grounds that these assessments strike an appropriate balance between innovation and accountability, and could reduce costs and make financing more available to consumers.AI regulation is not merely a compliance exercise. Industry leaders have an opportunity to shape rules that directly affect innovation and operations. By remaining disengaged, businesses risk allowing regulations to evolve without their input, leading to frameworks that are disconnected from operational realities. We do not want an environment in which regulators have overreacted to theoretical risks at the expense of practical progress.Just as the Industrial Revolution demanded new rules to govern transformative technologies, advances in AI call for guardrails. Business leaders have always had important contributions to make at such moments, and this one is no different. — Project Syndicate• Sylvain Duranton is Global Leader of BCG X. Kirsten Rulf is a partner and associate director at Boston Consulting Group.


Rescuers work the wreckage of an aircraft that went off the runway and crashed, at Muan International Airport, in Muan, South Korea, on December 29, 2024. (Reuters)
Opinion

S Korea jet crash puts fast-growing Jeju Air’s safety under scrutiny

Before it suffered the deadliest crash in South Korea’s history, budget airline Jeju Air was moving fast: racking up record passenger numbers and flying its aircraft more than domestic rivals and many of its global peers, data show.The high “utilisation rate” of Jeju Air’s planes - the number of hours they fly in a day - is not problematic in itself, experts say, but means scheduling enough time for required maintenance is crucial.Authorities have suggested a bird strike contributed to the accident, but as part of their probe into the incident aboard Boeing 737-800, police have raided the airlines’ Seoul office to seize documents related to the operation and maintenance of the plane.“You’re literally looking at everything,” said aviation safety and crash investigation expert Anthony Brickhouse. “You’re going to start off with their accident history and safety history. What kind of events have they had in the past, what happened, what was done to correct the issues?”Jeju Air told Reuters that it did not neglect maintenance procedures and that it would step up its safety efforts. The December 29 crash, which killed 179 people, was the airline’s first fatal accident since its 2005 founding and the first for any Korean airline in more than a decade.The company’s CEO, Kim E-bae - who has been barred from travelling overseas during the investigation - told a news conference last week that Jeju’s maintenance is in line with regulatory standards and that there were no maintenance issues with the doomed jet during pre-flight inspection.He acknowledged the airline’s safety measures had not been sufficient in the past, but said improvements had been made.The authorities have not said poor maintenance contributed to the crash and the exact circumstances behind the disaster remain unclear.Besides the reported bird strike, authorities are looking into why the pilot may have rushed a second landing attempt after declaring an emergency, and why the landing gear was not deployed.Investigators have recovered the cockpit and flight data recorders but have not released any details.The country’s transport regulator is inspecting all 101 737-800s in South Korea - more than a third of which are operated by Jeju Air - focusing on how often and how well the planes were maintained, among other considerations.Although it had recorded no violations in the last two years, it was hit with more fines and suspensions for aviation law breaches than any of its domestic rivals in 2020-2022, just during and after the Covid-19 pandemic, records show.According to transport ministry data on major airlines from 2020 to August 2024, Jeju Air was hit by about 2.3bn won ($1.57mn) in fines and the affected aircraft were kept out of operation for a total of 41 days, according to Reuters calculations based on the data.The next-most penalized airline, T’way Air, had 2.1bn won in fines and four days of suspended operation during that period.Jeju Air flies its planes more than any other major airline in the country, data show, and also outpaces most global peers such as Ireland’s Ryanair and Malaysia’s AirAsia.Jeju Air 7C2216 was flying from the Thai capital of Bangkok to Muan in southwestern South Korea at night when it belly-landed, overshot the runway and burst into flames after hitting an embankment. The aircraft flew every day in 2024, according to flight data reviewed by Reuters.High utilisation rates are prized in the industry as an indicator of economic efficiency, especially at low-cost carriers, experts say.Jeju Air, which ranks behind only Korean Air and Asiana Air in terms of passenger volumes in the country, saw record numbers from January to December 2024, according to transport ministry data.Its monthly utilisation hours for passenger jets nearly doubled to 412 in 2023 from 2022, higher than Korean Air at 332 hours and Asiana Airlines at 304 hours, according to stock exchange filings.T’way averaged 366 hours per month in passenger and cargo jets combined, Jin Air averaged 349 hours, and Air Busan 319 hours, according to their filings.In 2024, Jeju Air flew its airplanes more each day - 11.6 hours - than almost any other airline offering cheap tickets and flying only narrowbody aircraft, according to data from aviation analytics company Cirium, which calculates utilisation rates differently from the earnings filings.Only Saudi Arabia’s Air Arabia flew its planes more - 12.5 hours a day. Vietnam’s VietJet flew its planes 10 hours a day. Ryanair’s average use was 9.3 hours, while Malaysia’s AirAsia was 9 hours. China’s Spring Airlines flew 8 hours a day.“The utilisation itself is not a problem,” said Sim Jai-dong, a professor of aircraft maintenance at Sehan University in South Korea. “But there could be higher fatigue for pilots, crew members and mechanics given the higher utilisation rates.” - Reuters

QICDRC panel discusses the need for financial restructuring and insolvency framework
Business

QICDRC highlights need for financial restructuring and insolvency framework

The Qatar International Court and Dispute Resolution Centre (QICDRC) has highlighted the critical need for an insolvency framework in view of the changing economic landscape.This was highlighted at a panel discussion titled A Resilient Economy: Financial Restructuring and Insolvency Frameworks, organised by QICDRC in collaboration with Lexis Nexis and Deloitte Professional Services.The event convened industry leaders to shed light on the evolving financial restructuring landscape in Qatar and the wider region.Focusing on key topics essential to strengthen economic resilience, the discussion highlighted the importance of a robust legal framework, cross-border solutions for industry-specific restructuring, critical turnaround strategies, liquidity trends and approaches to financial and corporate simplification."At a time when economic landscapes are constantly shifting, the need for a resilient financial restructuring and insolvency framework has never been more critical," said Umar Azmeh, Registrar of QICDRC, who moderated the panel. "This panel highlights the importance of forward-thinking solutions and collaborative approaches to safeguard economic stability and foster growth in an increasingly complex global market.""At QICDRC, we are committed to facilitating meaningful discussions on key economic and legal issues, contributing to the continued growth and stability of Qatar and the wider region," according to him.The panellists contributed their insights, emphasising that financial restructuring goes beyond crisis management.They highlighted its role in building a resilient framework to withstand future economic challenges. Their input underscored the importance of fostering forward-thinking strategies and cross-sector collaboration to achieve long-term stability in a constantly changing environment."Qatar has consistently demonstrated the ability to recover from economic setbacks, such as the challenges posed by Covid-19, showcasing the resilience of its economy. A key factor in this resilience is its robust energy sector," said Emma Higham, partner at Clyde & Co, Qatar.Jim Sturman, Barrister, 2 Bedford Row (UK), said resilient economies adapt to shocks like sanctions, with businesses playing a key role."Their strategies, such as compliance and diversification, help sustain economic stability and recovery," he said.Thomas Bulock, Turnaround and Restructuring Partner at Deloitte, said a resilient economy relies on a well-structured organizational framework."This structure ensures stability, adaptability, and efficiency in responding to challenges and changes," he added.Rita El Helou, Chief Legal and Compliance Officer at Lesha Bank – Qatar, said amid today's challenges, companies and foundations must implement financial monitoring plans that address cash flow, debt management, and other critical factors to prevent crises, avoid insolvency, and achieve stability.

Gulf Times
Business

QNB expects Chinese economy to expand this year on policies that bolster economic growth

QNB expects the Chinese economy to grow this year in the absence of a major trade conflict with the US and certain other conditions. “In our view, absent a major trade conflict with the US, Chinese economic growth will be supported by positive momentum, more aggressive policy stimulus, and improving global financial conditions, favouring an above-consensus expansion rate of close to 4.8%,” QNB said in an economic commentary. In recent decades, China has been a dominant engine of economic growth for the global economy. During the period 2008-2019, which includes the years between the Great Financial Crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic, the Chinese economy expanded at an average rate of 8%, accounting for approximately 1/3rd of global growth. Since then, a combination of domestic factors has led to a marked deceleration in the pace of economic expansion, QNB noted. Over the last years, pessimism regarding China’s growth performance has become widespread as economic indicators failed to meet expectations. This was substantiated by the China Economic Surprise Index, which provides a formal measure of how data releases stand relative to forecasts. Since June last year, the index plunged into the negative territory and displayed how negative news prevailed for the next 4 months before recovering since mid-Q4, QNB said. Furthermore, fears began to rise as attention shifted to the correction in property markets that seemed unable to find its trough, as well as the growing threat implied by mounting debts of local governments. In this context, there was growing impatience with the cautious and incremental approach by the government to implement policy stimulus to the economy. The Bloomberg consensus forecasts pointed to 4.7% growth of GDP for 2024. Although this number is remarkable by international standards, it was 3.3 percentage points (p.p.) below the 8% average for China between 2008 and 2019. It is unlikely that growth rates could return to the rocketing pre-pandemic average, given the structural developments that conduct the economy to a natural long-term trend of growth moderation. However, several tailwinds allow for an improvement in its growth performance this year. In this article, QNB discusses three factors that will support growth in China in 2025. First, economic indicators are delivering positive surprises, with signals that the constructive momentum will persist. The Economic Surprise Index comfortably entered the positive range in Q4-2024, amid better-than-expected gauges across key production sectors. Property markets displayed signs of stabilisation as the declines in prices and sales moderated, with some statistics even exhibiting positive growth. This comes after the government ramped up incentives in the sector by relaxing conditions on mortgages and announced funds for targeted projects and housing for lower-income families. Additionally, robust growth in sales of electric vehicles and household appliances points to stronger appetite for consumption by households. More generally, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) also entered the expansionary range in the last quarter of last year, after 5 consecutive months in the negative region. The improved evolution of indicators across various sectors imply that current projections should be revised upwards. Second, the Chinese government is launching an aggressive battery of coordinated monetary and fiscal policy measures to provide stimulus to the economy. The Politburo led by President Xi Jinping announced it will conduct a “moderately loose” monetary policy strategy this year, anticipating a stance that had not been adopted since the Global Financial Crisis. Specifically, this has translated into expectations of interest rate cuts by 40-60 basis points by the PBoC, but will undoubtedly be accompanied by other measures of monetary easing. In the fiscal front, policymakers are expected to set a budget deficit target of 4% of GDP, the widest since 1994, and larger than the typical levels below 3%. The recent announcements add to previous rounds of initiatives that included the re-capitalisation of state banks, cuts in interest rates and reserve requirement ratios, public spending, support measures for the real estate and capital markets, and a $1.4tn package to alleviate local government debt pressures, among many others. These policies will gradually permeate into consumption and investment to bolster economic growth this year. Third, the continuation of the easing cycles of central banks in major advanced economies contribute to improve external conditions for China. Last year, as inflation was brought under control, the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve cut rates by 100 and 100 basis points respectively. This year, expectations point to additional cuts of 100 and 75 basis points. As a result, global financial conditions will continue to improve significantly. As central banks in major advanced economies cut rates, liquidity and credit expand. In addition, the PBoC will have more room to ease, as lower interest rate differentials means lessened concerns of capital flows leaving China to seek higher returns abroad. Thus, more favourable global financial conditions represent an additional factor to allow for more proactive policy easing that boosts growth, QNB added.