Trade tensions between Washington and Beijing may be running high but Corporate America is finding China to be a reliable source of profit growth this year.
Whether they sell construction equipment, semiconductors or coffee, many major US companies have reported stronger second-quarter earnings and revenue from their Chinese operations in recent weeks.
They are benefiting from a Chinese economy that is growing at almost 7%, several times the rate of US
expansion, a Chinese housing boom, and a slide in the US dollar, which makes American exports more competitive and increases dollar earnings once they are translated from foreign currencies.
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s ambitious plan to build a new Silk Road that will improve links between China and dozens of countries in Asia and Europe, and includes many billions of dollars of new roads, bridges, railways and power plants – is also helping American firms to sell heavy equipment and other products.
Caterpillar Inc, a bellwether for industrial demand in China and beyond, reported its sales in Asia-Pacific rose 25% in the second quarter – thanks to China.
Shipments of large excavators to Chinese customers more than doubled in the first half of the year.
“We now expect demand in China to remain strong through the rest of the year,” Brad Halverson, Caterpillar’s group president and chief financial officer, told investors.
Caterpillar’s Japanese rivals Komatsu and Hitachi Construction Machinery Co reported similar strength in demand for heavy machinery.
Komatsu’s China sales almost doubled in the firm’s April-June quarter.
“China’s grown pretty well relative to the US over this period and the currency’s relationship has changed in favor of the US companies,” said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group in Minneapolis.
Chinese companies are also benefiting from the robust domestic economy.
For example, Chinese auto manufacturer Geely Automobile Holdings announcing last week that its July sales climbed 89% from the year-earlier-month.
Geely and many other major Chinese companies report their results in the next few weeks.
American companies in China have been collectively reporting better prospects even as they complain that the Chinese authorities are not allowing them enough access to parts of the Chinese market and discriminating against them as they seek to compete against Chinese rivals.
US President Donald Trump’s administration has been considering punitive tariffs against a range of Chinese goods but it has held off on taking action after Beijing backed tougher United Nations Security Council sanctions against North Korea earlier this month.
However, senior US officials said over the weekend that Trump yesterday will order his top trade adviser to determine whether to investigate Chinese trade practices that force US firms operating in China to turn over intellectual property.
The move could eventually lead to steep tariffs on Chinese goods.
And despite some negatives in the Sino-US relationship, a July report by the American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai showed that 82% of US companies in China expect revenues to increase this year, up from 76% a year ago. “In general China is still a growth market for lots of US goods and services... the Chinese consumer is driving more and more the growth in China itself – that’s a very positive shift in compositional growth for a lot of US companies that do provide goods and services for consumers, as opposed to building skyscrapers,” said Joe Quinlan, head of thematic investing at Bank of America, US Trust.




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