Surge in airfares hamper aviation industry recovery; global tourism may be hit

Airfares have surged alarmingly, up to 50% in key international markets, which industry experts say hampers industry recovery.On the other hand, airport charges have remained flat even as inflation rates soared over 10% since 2019, a study by Airport Councils International (ACI) Asia- Pacific has shown. The study, undertaken in collaboration with Flare Aviation Consulting, examined around 36,000 routes in the top 10 aviation markets in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East, reveals an alarming increase in international airfares by up to 50%, while domestic routes went up by less than 10%.The markets that saw the highest airfare increase are India (41%), United Arab Emirates (34%), Singapore (30%) and Australia (23%).Unexpectedly, in the first quarter of 2023, despite a progressive increase in traffic, domestic airfares have continued to increase in several of these markets, including India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, South Korea and Japan, only decreasing marginally on international routes.ACI Asia-Pacific noted that airlines are capitalising on low competition and pent-up demand to increase profits and recover losses incurred during the pandemic, while airports continue to provide enhanced services to passengers despite incurring heavy operational and capital expenditures.Expressing concerns about the high-pricing practice, Stefano Baronci, director general, ACI Asia-Pacific said: "These excessive airfares threaten the industry's long-term recovery and may have a far-reaching influence on the associated industry by reducing demand for air travel and increasing the financial burden on the already stressed sector. Airlines should exercise fair pricing that supports recovery and safeguards consumers’ interests."A supply-demand imbalance should not be exploited by airlines at the expense of customers by restricting the capacity, especially international one which is a key driver of social and economic growth and a major source of revenues for the airport sector. We urge airlines to carefully consider the long-term impacts of their pricing decisions. At the same time, governments must consider liberalising markets through policies such as open skies, which will allow competition while keeping airfares under control.”Factors behind airfare increases: Fuel prices and inflation are responsible for a significant portion of airfare increase. Fuel prices went up 76% in 2022 compared to 2019. The airlines’ costs increased as the consumer price index saw an average 10% increase over the same period.ACI Asia-Pacific noted that several major international airlines recently announced record profits for the financial year 2022. However, airport operators have been reporting negative EBITDA margins for the last 10 consecutive quarters, particularly in China, Japan, Thailand and India.Despite a decrease in passengers and continuous financial losses, airports have made tremendous efforts to support airline partners during the crisis.They accomplished this by freezing or reducing airport charges, including landing, parking, and passenger fees, and providing incentives at the peak of the pandemic.This is despite the fact that airports have made significant investments in capital expansion and technology during this period to ensure a secure and smooth airport experience."While the quantum of airport charges has always been a matter of debate, it has typically been attributed to increases in airfares. For the record, airport charges are unlikely to have a major cascading impact on airfares as they account for less than 4% of the airline cost base,” ACI Asia-Pacific has argued.ACI Asia-Pacific study also demonstrates no correlation between airport charges and airfares.Airport charges are determined predominantly based on objective items of the airport’s cost base, comprised of operating expenses, depreciation, and cost of capital.These charges cover the cost of operations, maintenance, and development of airport infrastructure. Airlines, however, enjoy absolute market freedom to adjust pricing according to operational costs."One fact is clear. As it has been largely the case in the past, airport charges are not the reason for airfares increase in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Airport charges in 2019-2022 remained stable or decreased in nominal terms in Asia and Middle East by 4% on international routes; and increased only by +3% on domestic routes."The few airports that increased charges did it significantly below CPI levels after Covid in both domestic and international markets. Unlike airlines, airport operators do not have the privilege to set airport charges capable of covering the full cost of the service. And this is not only because their prices are heavily regulated, but also because market driven factors, such as competition and/or a dominant buyer power exerted by airlines prevent them from doing so,” Baronci added.ACI Asia-Pacific also noted that during the Covid-19 pandemic, airlines benefited from the additional revenue generated by higher cargo rates. Airports, on the other hand, lacked the opportunity to capitalise on the positive cargo trend due to regulated charges.Obviously, higher airfares make it more expensive for passengers to travel by air. This will deter some potential travellers, particularly budget-conscious individuals or families, who may opt for alternative modes of transportation or choose to postpone or cancel their trips altogether.Consequently, airlines can face dwindling demand for their services, in the medium term.As air travel plays a vital role in tourism industry, higher airfares can have a negative impact on the sector, both domestically and internationally.