Opinion

Afghans fear insurgents are biding time

Afghans fear insurgents are biding time

October 07, 2011 | 12:00 AM

By Jonathan S Landay/Kandahar, Afghanistan

 
When the muezzins’ calls summon the faithful of Afghanistan’s second-largest city to morning prayers, the senior cleric remains inside the crumbling walls of an old army base, sitting at the microphone of a low-power radio station that’s become his pulpit.“I am so much under threat that I can’t walk on the street,” said Maulawi Ubaidullah Hikmat, the head of Kandahar Province’s official Islamic council, who beams daily sermons over a 1,000-watt transmitter, protected by a solitary bodyguard. “I can’t even preach in my own mosque.”Hikmat’s fear - driven by a Taliban murder campaign that’s killed hundreds of Afghan officials, clerics, tribal elders and others affiliated with the US-backed government - contrasts sharply with the Obama administration’s assertion of “great progress” 10 years after the October 7, 2001, invasion of Afghanistan.As he tries to wind down the longest war in US history, President Barack Obama says his strategy has turned the tables on the Taliban and allowed US combat forces to begin withdrawing. But many Afghan officials and ordinary people counter that the insurgents are merely laying low, waiting out the US drawdown, and worry that US policy is turning the clock back to the civil war that was convulsing their country at the time of the invasion.“How can they say there is security here?” asked Zmari Khan, a Kandahar city police chief and a survivor of four assassination attempts by Taliban suicide bombings. The attacks scarred his body, blew off fingers and toes and rendered his left arm useless.“There is no option for me,” he said. “I am killing them (the Taliban) or they will kill me. We have been betrayed by everybody.”US officials and commanders argue that last year’s surge of 33,000 US soldiers, intensified US and Afghan night raids and larger, better-trained Afghan security forces have turned the tide against the Taliban in their southern heartland and brought relative stability to areas long under their sway.“We have reversed the Taliban’s momentum in Afghanistan,” Obama declared to Congress in a September 30 letter accompanying his latest status report on the war.After 1,800 US soldiers dead, some 13,000 wounded and more than $444bn in costs - not to mention an economically battered electorate at home that’s increasingly opposed to the war - Obama on June 22 announced the start of the US combat troop pullout. The surge troops are to be gone by next summer, and Afghan forces are to assume full responsibility for security by the end of 2014.“The insurgents’ ability to control territory has diminished” and they are “losing ground,” Assistant Defence Secretary Michele Flournoy assured a September 23 hearing of the House Armed Services Committee.On the surface, that assessment seemed accurate during a recent visit to Kandahar city and surrounding areas - where the hard-line movement began in 1994 - by a McClatchy correspondent wearing Afghan garb and accompanied by a translator and a driver.Districts where it once was too dangerous to drive were thick with traffic. Local bazaars appeared to be thriving. Schools were open. Gaggles of young men splashed in irrigation canals to escape the broiling heat. Fields brimmed with eggplants, melons and other crops.“Now, it’s totally different,” said Shah Mohamed Ahmadi, the governor of Arghandab, a district of 150,000 people, rich with orchards and vineyards, that for several years saw some of the war’s bloodiest fighting. “Now we have access to all of the villages and the villages have access to us.”But Ahmadi works inside a fortress-like combat outpost manned by US and Afghan troops. He echoed warnings by other officials and ordinary Afghans that the security gains in Kandahar and neighbouring Helmand Province, another Taliban stronghold, were superficial.“I’ve told the Americans many times that they need to stay longer,” Ahmadi said. “If they leave, we will lose all of our gains for the last 10 years.”Afghans say that the Taliban - unable to prevail in conventional battles against the stronger, high-tech US forces - have resorted to guerrilla tactics of roadside and suicide bombings, assassinations and kidnappings. The attacks have eroded public trust in the government of President Hamid Karzai and fuelled US opposition to the war. - MCT

October 07, 2011 | 12:00 AM