The stormy build-up to the G20, which kicks off yesterday for two days of talks, has been dominated by US President Donald Trump’s tough stance on trade and climate fears, and by simmering tensions with Russia.
While the outcome of today’s crunch talks between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping hangs in the balance, there are hopes the heads of the world’s top two economies can find a way to ease their trade row, which has seen them exchange deep import tariffs.
Key European exchanges closed mildly lower, with London the worst performer because of Brexit worries, while on Wall Street the Dow also slipped slightly in late morning New York trade.
In London, the FTSE 100 closed down 1.0% to 6,970.78 points; Frankfurt — DAX 30 ended down 0.4% to 11,257.24 points and Paris — CAC 40 closed down 0.4% to 5,003.92 points yesterday.
“There’s been a little bit of downside seen in the stock markets as investors nervously await the outcome of key meetings between world leaders at the G20 summit in Buenos Aires,” said XTB analyst David Cheetham.
“The main event on traders’ radars is clearly the Trump-Xi meeting — and what this means for trade between the world’s two largest economies going forward.”
“The risks still remain tilted to the downside...as the tensions over trade and politics between China and the US hang over sentiment like a dark cloud,” noted CMC Markets UK analyst Michael Hewson.
“President Trump has already said he is close to a deal on trade with China; he’s just not sure that he wants to do it, which raised some optimism that some form of fudged compromise might come out of the weekend meeting.
“The Chinese foreign ministry has said this morning it hopes that the US can show sincerity and meet China halfway in talks.
“We shall see, but as the song says it takes two to tango, and it’s not immediately clear that the United States wants to.”
In Asia, Tokyo stocks closed up 0.4%, Hong Kong added 0.2%, while Shanghai finished 0.8% higher, with dealers poring over data showing Chinese manufacturing stalled in November as the effects of Trump’s multi-billion-dollar tariffs begin to bite.
Beyond the G20, traders are eyeing the following weekend’s gathering of Opec and non-Opec oil producers, where Saudi Arabia and others are expected to cut output in a bid to support prices.
But oil prices dipped yesterday in volatile deals, one day after New York crude had ducked below $50 per barrel for the first time in almost 14 months.
The market had briefly bounced higher in Asian trading hours on a report that Russia will join in any output reduction.