More than half of Japan’s companies do not plan to raise base pay in annual wage talks in coming months, a set back for the prime minister and the country’s main business lobby which has called for wage rises of 3% to fuel an economic revival.
In a monthly Reuters Corporate Survey, just less than half said they would raise pay and most in this group said the increase would be similar to last year’s level of about 2%.
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and the Keidanren business group have sought a 3% wage rise to encourage consumption and inflation, key elements of Abe’s bid to vanquish the country of years of deflation.
A rise in fourth-quarter GDP reported last week marked Japan’s longest continuous economic expansion since the 1980s but significant wage rises remain elusive even though the labour market is its tightest in about four decades. In the past four years, major companies agreed to raise wages about 2% at annual wage negotiations with labour unions, a benchmark that sets the tone for talks across the country. The bulk of that – about 1.8% – comes automatically under Japan’s seniority-based employment system.
Anything beyond that is a hike in “base pay.” But many firms are wary of raising wages as it commits them to higher fixed personnel costs, so they prefer to pay one-off bonuses instead. The survey was conducted between January 31 and February 14 on behalf of Reuters by Nikkei Research.
Of some 240 companies that responded, 52% said they would not raise base pay.
“It would leave a burden when the business environment turns for the worse,” wrote a manager at a transport equipment maker in the survey. The remaining 48% said they intended to raise base pay, but 76% of this group said the rise would be the same as last year.
About 14% saw pay rises exceeding last year, while 10% said they would undershoot last year’s increase. The firms intending to boost wages cited returning a portion of profits to employees and motivating workers. Some even cited government pressure. “We have no choice but to raise base pay because of policies by the government and Keidanren,” wrote a manager of another transport equipment firm.